Math Problem Statement
Solution
This is a problem about constructing a straight-line trend using the least squares method. You have data for profit values for the years from 1961 to 1968.
To build the straight line trend using least square methods, follow these steps:
1. Transform the years into "time" values
Let’s define the year 1961 as time 1, 1962 as time 2, and so on until 1968, which will be time 8.
The corresponding year-time pairs will look like this:
Year | Time (t) | Profit (Y) |
---|---|---|
1961 | 1 | 80 |
1962 | 2 | 90 |
1963 | 3 | 92 |
1964 | 4 | 83 |
1965 | 5 | 94 |
1966 | 6 | 99 |
1967 | 7 | 92 |
1968 | 8 | 104 |
2. Calculate the necessary sums:
For least squares, you need to calculate these sums:
- Σt (sum of time values),
- ΣY (sum of profit values),
- Σt² (sum of squared time values),
- ΣtY (sum of the product of time and profit values).
Let’s go ahead and calculate these sums:
- Σt = 1 + 2 + 3 + 4 + 5 + 6 + 7 + 8 = 36
- ΣY = 80 + 90 + 92 + 83 + 94 + 99 + 92 + 104 = 734
- Σt² = 1² + 2² + 3² + 4² + 5² + 6² + 7² + 8² = 204
- ΣtY = (1 * 80) + (2 * 90) + (3 * 92) + (4 * 83) + (5 * 94) + (6 * 99) + (7 * 92) + (8 * 104) = 6082
3. Calculate the slope (m) and the intercept (c) of the straight line:
Use the following formulas to find the trend line:
- Slope (m):
- Intercept (c):
where n is the number of data points, which in this case is 8.
Now let's compute the slope and the intercept.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Linear Regression
Trend Analysis
Statistics
Formulas
Slope (m) = (n * ΣtY - Σt * ΣY) / (n * Σt² - (Σt)²)
Intercept (c) = (ΣY - m * Σt) / n
Theorems
Least Squares Method
Suitable Grade Level
Grades 10-12