Math Problem Statement

Build a straight-line trend using the least squares method with the given data for years and profits.

Solution

This is a problem about constructing a straight-line trend using the least squares method. You have data for profit values for the years from 1961 to 1968.

To build the straight line trend using least square methods, follow these steps:

1. Transform the years into "time" values

Let’s define the year 1961 as time 1, 1962 as time 2, and so on until 1968, which will be time 8.

The corresponding year-time pairs will look like this:

YearTime (t)Profit (Y)
1961180
1962290
1963392
1964483
1965594
1966699
1967792
19688104

2. Calculate the necessary sums:

For least squares, you need to calculate these sums:

  • Σt (sum of time values),
  • ΣY (sum of profit values),
  • Σt² (sum of squared time values),
  • ΣtY (sum of the product of time and profit values).

Let’s go ahead and calculate these sums:

  • Σt = 1 + 2 + 3 + 4 + 5 + 6 + 7 + 8 = 36
  • ΣY = 80 + 90 + 92 + 83 + 94 + 99 + 92 + 104 = 734
  • Σt² = 1² + 2² + 3² + 4² + 5² + 6² + 7² + 8² = 204
  • ΣtY = (1 * 80) + (2 * 90) + (3 * 92) + (4 * 83) + (5 * 94) + (6 * 99) + (7 * 92) + (8 * 104) = 6082

3. Calculate the slope (m) and the intercept (c) of the straight line:

Use the following formulas to find the trend line:

  • Slope (m):
    m=nΣtYΣtΣYnΣt2(Σt)2m = \frac{n \cdot ΣtY - Σt \cdot ΣY}{n \cdot Σt² - (Σt)²}
  • Intercept (c):
    c=ΣYmΣtnc = \frac{ΣY - m \cdot Σt}{n}

where n is the number of data points, which in this case is 8.

Now let's compute the slope and the intercept.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Linear Regression
Trend Analysis
Statistics

Formulas

Slope (m) = (n * ΣtY - Σt * ΣY) / (n * Σt² - (Σt)²)
Intercept (c) = (ΣY - m * Σt) / n

Theorems

Least Squares Method

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 10-12