Math Problem Statement

In a regression analysis involving 30 observations, the following estimated regression equation was obtained: ŷ = 17.6 + 3.8x₁ − 2.3x₂ + 7.6x₃ + 2.7x₄. Interpret b₁, b₂, b₃, and b₄, and predict y when x₁ = 10, x₂ = 5, x₃ = 1, and x₄ = 2.

Solution

Solution

The given regression equation is: y^=17.6+3.8x12.3x2+7.6x3+2.7x4\hat{y} = 17.6 + 3.8x_1 - 2.3x_2 + 7.6x_3 + 2.7x_4


Part a: Interpret b1b_1, b2b_2, b3b_3, and b4b_4

  1. b1=3.8b_1 = 3.8: For every 1-unit increase in x1x_1, yy increases by 3.8, holding x2x_2, x3x_3, and x4x_4 constant.
  2. b2=2.3b_2 = -2.3: For every 1-unit increase in x2x_2, yy decreases by 2.3, holding x1x_1, x3x_3, and x4x_4 constant.
  3. b3=7.6b_3 = 7.6: For every 1-unit increase in x3x_3, yy increases by 7.6, holding x1x_1, x2x_2, and x4x_4 constant.
  4. b4=2.7b_4 = 2.7: For every 1-unit increase in x4x_4, yy increases by 2.7, holding x1x_1, x2x_2, and x3x_3 constant.

Part b: Predict yy when x1=10x_1 = 10, x2=5x_2 = 5, x3=1x_3 = 1, and x4=2x_4 = 2

Substitute the values into the equation:

y^=17.6+3.8(10)2.3(5)+7.6(1)+2.7(2)\hat{y} = 17.6 + 3.8(10) - 2.3(5) + 7.6(1) + 2.7(2)

Simplify step by step:

  1. 17.6+3.8(10)=17.6+38=55.617.6 + 3.8(10) = 17.6 + 38 = 55.6
  2. 55.62.3(5)=55.611.5=44.155.6 - 2.3(5) = 55.6 - 11.5 = 44.1
  3. 44.1+7.6(1)=44.1+7.6=51.744.1 + 7.6(1) = 44.1 + 7.6 = 51.7
  4. 51.7+2.7(2)=51.7+5.4=57.151.7 + 2.7(2) = 51.7 + 5.4 = 57.1

y^=57.1\hat{y} = 57.1


Final Answers:

a.

  • b1=3.8b_1 = 3.8
  • b2=2.3b_2 = -2.3
  • b3=7.6b_3 = 7.6
  • b4=2.7b_4 = 2.7

b. Predicted y=57.1y = 57.1


Would you like further clarification on this or additional steps? Here are five related questions to explore:

  1. How does multicollinearity affect interpretation of regression coefficients?
  2. What does the intercept 17.617.6 represent in this context?
  3. How would predicted yy change if x2x_2 doubled in value while others stayed constant?
  4. What is the significance of a negative regression coefficient like b2b_2?
  5. How could we evaluate the goodness-of-fit of this regression model?

Tip: When solving regression problems, always ensure that coefficients are interpreted with respect to other variables held constant.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Regression Analysis
Linear Models

Formulas

ŷ = b₀ + b₁x₁ + b₂x₂ + b₃x₃ + b₄x₄
Prediction in linear regression

Theorems

Ordinary Least Squares (OLS)

Suitable Grade Level

College level (Statistics/Econometrics)