Math Problem Statement

In a survey of 1023 U.S. adults with children conducted by the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, 537 said that they had saved money for their children's college education. Can you conclude that the percentage of U.S. adults with children who have saved money for college is more than 50%? Use the α = 0.05 level of significance.

Solution

To find the PP-value for this hypothesis test, let's go through the steps systematically:

  1. Identify the parameters:

    • Sample size (nn) = 1023
    • Number of successes (XX) = 537
    • Sample proportion (p^\hat{p}) = Xn=53710230.5249\frac{X}{n} = \frac{537}{1023} \approx 0.5249
  2. Set up the hypotheses:

    • Null hypothesis H0:p=0.5H_0: p = 0.5
    • Alternative hypothesis H1:p>0.5H_1: p > 0.5
  3. Calculate the test statistic (z-score): Since we are conducting a one-sample proportion test, we can use the following formula for the test statistic: z=p^p0p0(1p0)nz = \frac{\hat{p} - p_0}{\sqrt{\frac{p_0 (1 - p_0)}{n}}} where p0=0.5p_0 = 0.5 (the hypothesized proportion).

    Substituting the values: z=0.52490.50.5×(10.5)1023z = \frac{0.5249 - 0.5}{\sqrt{\frac{0.5 \times (1 - 0.5)}{1023}}} z0.02490.251023z \approx \frac{0.0249}{\sqrt{\frac{0.25}{1023}}} z0.02490.01561.5962z \approx \frac{0.0249}{0.0156} \approx 1.5962

  4. Find the P-value: Since this is a right-tailed test (as per H1:p>0.5H_1: p > 0.5), we will look up the probability corresponding to z=1.5962z = 1.5962 in the standard normal distribution.

    Using standard normal tables or a calculator, we find that the area to the right of z=1.5962z = 1.5962 is approximately P0.0554P \approx 0.0554.

Thus, the PP-value for this test is approximately 0.0554 (rounded to four decimal places).

Would you like further clarification on any of these steps, or do you have any additional questions?

Here are some follow-up questions to expand your understanding:

  1. How does the choice of significance level α\alpha impact the decision to reject or fail to reject the null hypothesis?
  2. What are the consequences of rejecting H0H_0 when it is actually true?
  3. How would a change in the sample size impact the zz-score and PP-value?
  4. What is the interpretation of the PP-value in the context of this problem?
  5. How would the test differ if we were testing H1:p<0.5H_1: p < 0.5 instead of H1:p>0.5H_1: p > 0.5?

Tip: Remember that the PP-value is the probability of observing a result as extreme as, or more extreme than, the sample result, assuming the null hypothesis is true.

Ask a new question for Free

By Image

Drop file here or Click Here to upload

Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Hypothesis Testing
One-Sample Proportion Test
P-value
Significance Level

Formulas

Test statistic for proportions: z = (p̂ - p0) / sqrt((p0(1 - p0)) / n)

Theorems

Central Limit Theorem
Standard Normal Distribution

Suitable Grade Level

Undergraduate