Math Problem Statement
Solution
Let’s address the problem step by step:
Question Analysis:
We are performing a hypothesis test for a population proportion.
Given Data:
- Sample size () = 745
- Number of successes () = 589
- Sample proportion () ≈ 0.7906
- Claimed population proportion () = 0.75
- Significance level () = 0.01
Part a) What is the null hypothesis?
The null hypothesis states that the population proportion is 75%.
Part b) What is the alternative hypothesis?
The alternative hypothesis is that the population proportion is not equal to 75%.
Part c) Is the test two-tailed, left-tailed, or right-tailed?
This is a two-tailed test because the alternative hypothesis () suggests a deviation in either direction from 0.75.
Part d) Find the test statistic.
The test statistic for a proportion is calculated using the formula:
Substitute the values:
The test statistic is approximately .
Part e) Find the p-value.
For a two-tailed test, the p-value is calculated as:
Using and a standard normal distribution table or calculator:
The p-value is approximately .
Part f) Write an initial conclusion for the hypothesis.
Compare the p-value () to the significance level ():
- : Fail to reject .
The initial conclusion is that there is insufficient evidence to reject the null hypothesis at the 0.01 significance level.
Part g) Write a final conclusion for the hypothesis test.
Since we failed to reject , the data does not provide strong evidence that the true population proportion differs from 75%. Therefore, we conclude that it is plausible that 75% of adults believe it is morally wrong not to report all income on tax returns.
Questions for Further Exploration:
- What happens if the significance level is changed to 0.05? Would the conclusion differ?
- How does the sample size impact the reliability of this test?
- Why is it important to use a two-tailed test in this scenario?
- What would be the test statistic if the sample size were doubled but the proportions remained the same?
- How would a higher claimed population proportion () affect the outcome?
Tip:
Always ensure you verify the assumptions for a hypothesis test, such as the sample size being large enough for the normal approximation to be valid.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Hypothesis Testing
Population Proportion
Significance Level
Two-Tailed Tests
Formulas
z = (p_hat - p_0) / sqrt((p_0 * (1 - p_0)) / n)
p-value = 2 * P(Z > |z|)
Theorems
Central Limit Theorem
Suitable Grade Level
Undergraduate Statistics or Advanced High School
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