Math Problem Statement

An online retailer would like to know whether the proportion of customers who visit the site and make a purchase is different than 50%. A simple random sample of customers is taken. The results of the sample are shown below.

What is the level of significance?

What is the null hypothesis H0?

What is the alternative hypothesis Ha?

Should H0 be rejected or does H0 fail to be rejected?

What conclusion can be drawn from the data?

What is the population parameter?

What condition for using a z-distribution is met?

evidence exists to support the claim that the number of customers who visit the site and make a purchase is not 50%.

An online retailer would like to know whether the proportion of customers who visit the site and make a purchase is different than 50%. A simple random sample of customers is taken. The results of the sample are shown below. What is the level of significance? What is the null hypothesis H0? What is the alternative hypothesis Ha? Should H0 be rejected or does H0 fail to be rejected? What conclusion can be drawn from the data? What is the population parameter? What condition for using a z-distribution is met? evidence exists to support the claim that the number of customers who visit the site and make a purchase is not 50%.

Solution

Let's answer the questions based on the given data and information provided.

1. Level of significance

The level of significance (α\alpha) is not explicitly provided in the data, but it is typically assumed to be 0.05 for a 95% confidence level. Thus:
α=0.05\alpha = 0.05


2. Null hypothesis (H0H_0)

The null hypothesis states that the proportion of customers who make a purchase is equal to 50%. Mathematically:
H0:p=0.5H_0: p = 0.5


3. Alternative hypothesis (HaH_a)

The alternative hypothesis states that the proportion of customers who make a purchase is different from 50%. This is a two-tailed test. Mathematically:
Ha:p0.5H_a: p \neq 0.5


4. Should H0H_0 be rejected or does H0H_0 fail to be rejected?

To determine this, we compare the p-value to the level of significance (α\alpha):

  • Given p-value = 0.072
  • Given α=0.05\alpha = 0.05

Since the p-value (0.072) is greater than the level of significance (α=0.05\alpha = 0.05), H0H_0 fails to be rejected.


5. Conclusion

At the 5% level of significance, there is insufficient evidence to conclude that the proportion of customers who make a purchase is different from 50%. Therefore, the observed difference is not statistically significant.


6. Population parameter

The population parameter of interest is the true proportion of all customers who visit the site and make a purchase (pp).


7. Condition for using a z-distribution

The condition for using the z-distribution is based on the sample size being sufficiently large to approximate a normal distribution:

  • np010n \cdot p_0 \geq 10
  • n(1p0)10n \cdot (1 - p_0) \geq 10

Here:

  • n=100n = 100
  • p0=0.5p_0 = 0.5

Check the conditions:
np0=1000.5=50andn(1p0)=1000.5=50n \cdot p_0 = 100 \cdot 0.5 = 50 \quad \text{and} \quad n \cdot (1 - p_0) = 100 \cdot 0.5 = 50
Both values are greater than 10, so the z-distribution condition is met.


Summary

  1. Level of significance: α=0.05\alpha = 0.05
  2. Null hypothesis H0H_0: p=0.5p = 0.5
  3. Alternative hypothesis HaH_a: p0.5p \neq 0.5
  4. Decision: H0H_0 fails to be rejected.
  5. Conclusion: Insufficient evidence to conclude the proportion is different from 50%.
  6. Population parameter: True proportion of customers making a purchase (pp).
  7. Condition met: np010n \cdot p_0 \geq 10 and n(1p0)10n \cdot (1 - p_0) \geq 10.

Additional Questions to Explore:

  1. What does the test statistic z=1.8z = 1.8 indicate in terms of standard deviations?
  2. How does the critical value (1.951.95) relate to the decision rule?
  3. What would happen if the confidence level was 99% instead of 95%?
  4. How could increasing the sample size influence the p-value?
  5. What type of error might occur in this test (Type I or Type II)?

Tip:

In hypothesis testing, always compare the p-value to the level of significance to determine whether to reject H0H_0. A smaller p-value (< α\alpha) provides stronger evidence against H0H_0.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Hypothesis Testing
Proportions
p-value
Critical Value
Z-Distribution

Formulas

Test Statistic: z = (p̂ - p₀) / sqrt(p₀(1-p₀)/n)
Confidence Interval and Significance Level Comparison

Theorems

Central Limit Theorem
Hypothesis Testing Decision Rule

Suitable Grade Level

College-Level Statistics or AP Statistics