Math Problem Statement
An online retailer would like to know whether the proportion of customers who visit the site and make a purchase is different than 50%. A simple random sample of customers is taken. The results of the sample are shown below.
What is the level of significance?
What is the null hypothesis H0?
What is the alternative hypothesis Ha?
Should H0 be rejected or does H0 fail to be rejected?
What conclusion can be drawn from the data?
What is the population parameter?
What condition for using a z-distribution is met?
evidence exists to support the claim that the number of customers who visit the site and make a purchase is not 50%.
Solution
Let's answer the questions based on the given data and information provided.
1. Level of significance
The level of significance () is not explicitly provided in the data, but it is typically assumed to be 0.05 for a 95% confidence level. Thus:
2. Null hypothesis ()
The null hypothesis states that the proportion of customers who make a purchase is equal to 50%. Mathematically:
3. Alternative hypothesis ()
The alternative hypothesis states that the proportion of customers who make a purchase is different from 50%. This is a two-tailed test. Mathematically:
4. Should be rejected or does fail to be rejected?
To determine this, we compare the p-value to the level of significance ():
- Given p-value = 0.072
- Given
Since the p-value (0.072) is greater than the level of significance (), fails to be rejected.
5. Conclusion
At the 5% level of significance, there is insufficient evidence to conclude that the proportion of customers who make a purchase is different from 50%. Therefore, the observed difference is not statistically significant.
6. Population parameter
The population parameter of interest is the true proportion of all customers who visit the site and make a purchase ().
7. Condition for using a z-distribution
The condition for using the z-distribution is based on the sample size being sufficiently large to approximate a normal distribution:
Here:
Check the conditions:
Both values are greater than 10, so the z-distribution condition is met.
Summary
- Level of significance:
- Null hypothesis :
- Alternative hypothesis :
- Decision: fails to be rejected.
- Conclusion: Insufficient evidence to conclude the proportion is different from 50%.
- Population parameter: True proportion of customers making a purchase ().
- Condition met: and .
Additional Questions to Explore:
- What does the test statistic indicate in terms of standard deviations?
- How does the critical value () relate to the decision rule?
- What would happen if the confidence level was 99% instead of 95%?
- How could increasing the sample size influence the p-value?
- What type of error might occur in this test (Type I or Type II)?
Tip:
In hypothesis testing, always compare the p-value to the level of significance to determine whether to reject . A smaller p-value (< ) provides stronger evidence against .
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Hypothesis Testing
Proportions
p-value
Critical Value
Z-Distribution
Formulas
Test Statistic: z = (p̂ - p₀) / sqrt(p₀(1-p₀)/n)
Confidence Interval and Significance Level Comparison
Theorems
Central Limit Theorem
Hypothesis Testing Decision Rule
Suitable Grade Level
College-Level Statistics or AP Statistics
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