Math Problem Statement

In order to examine the relationship between the selling price of a used car and its age, an analyst uses data from 20 recent transactions and estimates Price = β0 + β1Age + ε. A portion of the regression results is shown in the accompanying table.

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat p-Value Intercept 21,225.95 733.44 28.940 1.51E-16 Age −1,207.26 124.96 1.51E-08 a. Specify the competing hypotheses in order to determine whether the selling price of a used car and its age are linearly related.

b. Calculate the value of the test statistic.

Note: Negative value should be indicated by a minus sign. Round your answer to 3 decimal places.

c. At the 1% significance level, is the age of a used car significant in explaining its selling price?

d-1. Conduct a hypothesis test at the 1% significance level in order to determine if β1 differs from −1,000.

Note: Negative value should be indicated by a minus sign. Round your answer to 3 decimal places.

d-2. Find the p-value.

multiple choice 0.05 Picture p-value < 0.10 0.02 Picture p-value < 0.05 0.01 Picture p-value < 0.02 p-value < 0.01 p-value Picture 0.10

d-3. What is the conclusion to the test?

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Solution

Problem Details:

We analyze the relationship between the selling price of a used car and its age using a linear regression model Price=β0+β1Age+ϵ\text{Price} = \beta_0 + \beta_1 \text{Age} + \epsilon, based on the data provided in the table. Below are the solutions to each question.


(a) Hypotheses for Linear Relationship

To test if there is a linear relationship between the selling price and age of a used car:

  • Null hypothesis (H0H_0): β1=0\beta_1 = 0 (no linear relationship between age and selling price).
  • Alternative hypothesis (HaH_a): β10\beta_1 \neq 0 (a linear relationship exists between age and selling price).

(b) Calculate the Test Statistic

The test statistic for β1\beta_1 is computed as:
t=Coefficient of AgeStandard Error of Aget = \frac{\text{Coefficient of Age}}{\text{Standard Error of Age}}
From the table: Coefficient of Age=1207.26,Standard Error of Age=124.96\text{Coefficient of Age} = -1207.26, \quad \text{Standard Error of Age} = 124.96
Substitute: t=1207.26124.969.662t = \frac{-1207.26}{124.96} \approx -9.662

Answer: t=9.662t = -9.662


(c) Significance of Age at the 1% Level

At the 1% significance level, we compare the calculated tt-statistic (9.662-9.662) to the critical tt-value from the tt-distribution with df=n2=18df = n - 2 = 18.

Using a tt-table or software:

  • For a two-tailed test at α=0.01\alpha = 0.01, tcritical±2.878t_{\text{critical}} \approx \pm 2.878.

Since t=9.662>2.878|t| = 9.662 > 2.878, we reject H0H_0. The age of a used car is statistically significant in explaining its selling price.


(d-1) Hypothesis Test for β1=1000\beta_1 = -1000

To test whether β1\beta_1 differs from 1000-1000, the hypotheses are:

  • Null hypothesis (H0H_0): β1=1000\beta_1 = -1000
  • Alternative hypothesis (HaH_a): β11000\beta_1 \neq -1000

The test statistic is: t=Coefficient of AgeHypothesized ValueStandard Errort = \frac{\text{Coefficient of Age} - \text{Hypothesized Value}}{\text{Standard Error}}
Substitute values: t=1207.26(1000)124.96=1207.26+1000124.96=207.26124.961.659t = \frac{-1207.26 - (-1000)}{124.96} = \frac{-1207.26 + 1000}{124.96} = \frac{-207.26}{124.96} \approx -1.659

Answer: t=1.659t = -1.659


(d-2) Find the p-value

Using a tt-distribution with df=18df = 18, the two-tailed p-value for t=1.659t = -1.659 can be found using statistical software or a table. Approximate values:

  • p0.05p \approx 0.05.

Thus, 0.05<p<0.100.05 < p < 0.10.

Answer: 0.05<p<0.100.05 < p < 0.10


(d-3) Conclusion

At the 1% significance level (α=0.01\alpha = 0.01):

  • The p-value (0.05\approx 0.05) is greater than 0.01, so we fail to reject H0H_0.
  • There is not enough evidence to conclude that β1\beta_1 differs from 1000-1000.

Summary Answers:

  • (a): H0:β1=0H_0: \beta_1 = 0, Ha:β10H_a: \beta_1 \neq 0.
  • (b): t=9.662t = -9.662.
  • (c): Yes, age is significant at the 1% level.
  • (d-1): t=1.659t = -1.659.
  • (d-2): 0.05<p<0.100.05 < p < 0.10.
  • (d-3): Fail to reject H0H_0; not enough evidence to conclude β11000\beta_1 \neq -1000.

Follow-Up Questions

  1. Why is a two-tailed test used for this hypothesis?
  2. How does the p-value relate to the significance level in decision-making?
  3. What would happen if the significance level were 5% instead of 1%?
  4. How does sample size impact the tt-statistic and p-value?
  5. Could multicollinearity impact the interpretation of the regression?

Tip: When interpreting p-values, always contextualize them with the significance level to make clear, data-driven conclusions.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Linear Regression
Hypothesis Testing
Significance Testing
Test Statistics
P-value Interpretation

Formulas

t = (Coefficient - Hypothesized Value) / Standard Error
t = Coefficient / Standard Error

Theorems

t-distribution
Hypothesis Testing Framework

Suitable Grade Level

Undergraduate Statistics or Advanced High School AP Statistics