Math Problem Statement
In order to examine the relationship between the selling price of a used car and its age, an analyst uses data from 20 recent transactions and estimates Price = β0 + β1Age + ε. A portion of the regression results is shown in the accompanying table.
Coefficients Standard Error t Stat p-Value Intercept 21,225.95 733.44 28.940 1.51E-16 Age −1,207.26 124.96 1.51E-08 a. Specify the competing hypotheses in order to determine whether the selling price of a used car and its age are linearly related.
b. Calculate the value of the test statistic.
Note: Negative value should be indicated by a minus sign. Round your answer to 3 decimal places.
c. At the 1% significance level, is the age of a used car significant in explaining its selling price?
d-1. Conduct a hypothesis test at the 1% significance level in order to determine if β1 differs from −1,000.
Note: Negative value should be indicated by a minus sign. Round your answer to 3 decimal places.
d-2. Find the p-value.
multiple choice 0.05 Picture p-value < 0.10 0.02 Picture p-value < 0.05 0.01 Picture p-value < 0.02 p-value < 0.01 p-value Picture 0.10
d-3. What is the conclusion to the test?
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Solution
Problem Details:
We analyze the relationship between the selling price of a used car and its age using a linear regression model , based on the data provided in the table. Below are the solutions to each question.
(a) Hypotheses for Linear Relationship
To test if there is a linear relationship between the selling price and age of a used car:
- Null hypothesis (): (no linear relationship between age and selling price).
- Alternative hypothesis (): (a linear relationship exists between age and selling price).
(b) Calculate the Test Statistic
The test statistic for is computed as:
From the table:
Substitute:
Answer:
(c) Significance of Age at the 1% Level
At the 1% significance level, we compare the calculated -statistic () to the critical -value from the -distribution with .
Using a -table or software:
- For a two-tailed test at , .
Since , we reject . The age of a used car is statistically significant in explaining its selling price.
(d-1) Hypothesis Test for
To test whether differs from , the hypotheses are:
- Null hypothesis ():
- Alternative hypothesis ():
The test statistic is:
Substitute values:
Answer:
(d-2) Find the p-value
Using a -distribution with , the two-tailed p-value for can be found using statistical software or a table. Approximate values:
- .
Thus, .
Answer:
(d-3) Conclusion
At the 1% significance level ():
- The p-value () is greater than 0.01, so we fail to reject .
- There is not enough evidence to conclude that differs from .
Summary Answers:
- (a): , .
- (b): .
- (c): Yes, age is significant at the 1% level.
- (d-1): .
- (d-2): .
- (d-3): Fail to reject ; not enough evidence to conclude .
Follow-Up Questions
- Why is a two-tailed test used for this hypothesis?
- How does the p-value relate to the significance level in decision-making?
- What would happen if the significance level were 5% instead of 1%?
- How does sample size impact the -statistic and p-value?
- Could multicollinearity impact the interpretation of the regression?
Tip: When interpreting p-values, always contextualize them with the significance level to make clear, data-driven conclusions.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Linear Regression
Hypothesis Testing
Significance Testing
Test Statistics
P-value Interpretation
Formulas
t = (Coefficient - Hypothesized Value) / Standard Error
t = Coefficient / Standard Error
Theorems
t-distribution
Hypothesis Testing Framework
Suitable Grade Level
Undergraduate Statistics or Advanced High School AP Statistics
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