Math Problem Statement

In 2013, the Gallup Poll asked 1017 U.S. adults whether they believed that people should pay sales tax on items purchased over the internet. Of these, 397 said they supported such a tax. Does the survey provide convincing evidence that more than 38% of U.S. adults favor an internet sales tax? Use the α = 0.01 level of significance and the P-value method with the TI-84 Plus calculator.

Solution

Let's break down the problem step by step. Here's the information provided:

  1. Context: A survey asked 1017 U.S. adults about their support for an internet sales tax, and 397 supported the tax.
  2. Claim: Determine if more than 38% of U.S. adults support the tax (claim: p>0.38p > 0.38).
  3. Significance Level: α=0.01\alpha = 0.01.
  4. Hypotheses: We need to establish the null and alternative hypotheses.

Step (a): State the null and alternate hypotheses

  • Null Hypothesis (H0H_0): The proportion of U.S. adults supporting the tax is equal to 38%. Mathematically: H0:p=0.38H_0: p = 0.38

  • Alternative Hypothesis (H1H_1): More than 38% of U.S. adults support the tax. Mathematically: H1:p>0.38H_1: p > 0.38

This is a right-tailed test because the claim is that the true proportion pp is greater than 0.38.


Would you like me to proceed with calculating the test statistic and pp-value, or provide further explanation of these hypotheses? Let me know!


Follow-Up Questions

  1. How is the decision between a right-tailed, left-tailed, or two-tailed test determined?
  2. What formula is used to calculate the test statistic for a population proportion?
  3. How does the significance level (α\alpha) influence the interpretation of the results?
  4. How can the TI-84 Plus calculator be used to compute the pp-value?
  5. What does it mean if the pp-value is less than the significance level?

Tip:

Always clearly distinguish between the null hypothesis (H0H_0) and the alternative hypothesis (H1H_1), as they form the foundation for hypothesis testing.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Hypothesis Testing
Population Proportion
Significance Level
P-Value Method

Formulas

Test statistic for a population proportion: z = (p̂ - p0) / sqrt((p0(1 - p0)) / n)
P-value calculation based on the standard normal distribution

Theorems

Central Limit Theorem
Properties of the Standard Normal Distribution

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 10-12 or introductory college-level statistics