Math Problem Statement

A breakfast cereal producing company fills its product in boxes. The average weight of cereal in a pack is intended to be 400 gm with a standard deviation of 30 gm. The weight per packet is normally distributed. To check whether the machine filling the cereal is working properly, samples of 20 packets are taken randomly every Saturday. The mean weight of packets is determined, and action is taken if the sample mean is found to be significantly different from 400 gm. The testing is done at a 10% level of significance. Tasks include: determining sample mean limits for no action, calculating probabilities of Type I and Type II errors, and related questions.

Solution

The provided image contains a statistics problem related to hypothesis testing for a normal distribution. Here's a step-by-step breakdown of the problem and how we approach solving it:


Problem Context:

  • Given:

    • Mean (μ\mu) = 400 g
    • Standard deviation (σ\sigma) = 30 g
    • Sample size (nn) = 20
    • The testing is done at a 10% significance level (α=0.10\alpha = 0.10).
  • Tasks:

    1. Determine the limits of the sample mean for no action.
    2. Calculate the probability of a Type I error.
    3. Find the probability that the mean weight of cereal in a sample is ≤ 390 g.
    4. Compute the probability of a Type II error assuming:
      • Actual mean weights of 392 g, 405 g, 410 g, and 420 g.
    5. Calculate probabilities of both Type I and Type II errors if the true mean remains 400 g.

Approach:

  1. Find the limits of no action:

    • The critical region for rejecting the null hypothesis is based on ZZ-scores for the given significance level. Use ZZ-tables to determine these bounds.
  2. Probability of Type I error (α\alpha):

    • This is the probability of rejecting the null hypothesis when it is true, which directly corresponds to the significance level.
  3. Probability of Xˉ390\bar{X} \leq 390:

    • Use the sampling distribution of the sample mean: Standard error (SE)=σn\text{Standard error (SE)} = \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}
    • Compute the ZZ-score for Xˉ=390\bar{X} = 390 and use the standard normal distribution to find the probability.
  4. Type II error for specified mean weights:

    • Calculate the probability of failing to reject the null hypothesis when the mean weight is 392 g, 405 g, etc. Use the respective alternative hypotheses to compute this.
  5. Type I and Type II errors at μ=400\mu = 400:

    • Determine these probabilities using the actual sampling distribution centered at 400 g.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Hypothesis Testing
Normal Distribution
Type I and Type II Errors
Significance Levels
Standard Error of the Mean

Formulas

Standard error (SE) = σ / √n
Z = (X̄ - μ) / SE
P(Type I Error) = α
P(Type II Error) = β

Theorems

Central Limit Theorem
Properties of Normal Distribution

Suitable Grade Level

Undergraduate or Advanced High School (Grades 11-12)