Math Problem Statement

In a survey of 400 students taking the SAT, 18% were planning to study health-related fields in college. In another survey of 600 students taken 10 years prior, 15% were planning to study a health related field. Test at 1% significance that the true proportion of students planning to study a health-related field in college is more now than 10 years ago.

Group 1: Now Group 2: 10 Years Ago Round to the fourth

Select the correct alternative sign:

Select an answer

Test Statistic:

p-value:

Solution

This problem requires a hypothesis test for the difference in proportions. Let’s solve step-by-step:

1. Define Hypotheses

Let p1p_1 be the proportion of students planning to study health-related fields now and p2p_2 the proportion 10 years ago.

  • Null Hypothesis (H0H_0): p1p20p_1 - p_2 \leq 0 (The proportion now is less than or equal to 10 years ago.)
  • Alternative Hypothesis (HaH_a): p1p2>0p_1 - p_2 > 0 (The proportion now is greater than 10 years ago.)

This is a right-tailed test.


2. Gather the Data

  • Group 1: n1=400n_1 = 400, p^1=0.18\hat{p}_1 = 0.18
  • Group 2: n2=600n_2 = 600, p^2=0.15\hat{p}_2 = 0.15

3. Compute the Pooled Proportion

The pooled proportion is given by: p^=x1+x2n1+n2\hat{p} = \frac{x_1 + x_2}{n_1 + n_2} where: x1=p^1n1=0.18400=72x_1 = \hat{p}_1 \cdot n_1 = 0.18 \cdot 400 = 72 x2=p^2n2=0.15600=90x_2 = \hat{p}_2 \cdot n_2 = 0.15 \cdot 600 = 90

p^=72+90400+600=1621000=0.162\hat{p} = \frac{72 + 90}{400 + 600} = \frac{162}{1000} = 0.162


4. Compute the Test Statistic

The test statistic zz is: z=p^1p^2p^(1p^)(1n1+1n2)z = \frac{\hat{p}_1 - \hat{p}_2}{\sqrt{\hat{p}(1 - \hat{p})\left(\frac{1}{n_1} + \frac{1}{n_2}\right)}}

Substituting the values: z=0.180.150.162(10.162)(1400+1600)z = \frac{0.18 - 0.15}{\sqrt{0.162 \cdot (1 - 0.162) \cdot \left(\frac{1}{400} + \frac{1}{600}\right)}} z=0.030.1620.838(0.0025+0.001667)z = \frac{0.03}{\sqrt{0.162 \cdot 0.838 \cdot \left(0.0025 + 0.001667\right)}} z=0.030.1620.8380.004167z = \frac{0.03}{\sqrt{0.162 \cdot 0.838 \cdot 0.004167}} z=0.030.000566z = \frac{0.03}{\sqrt{0.000566}} z=0.030.02381.2605z = \frac{0.03}{0.0238} \approx 1.2605


5. Compute the p-value

Using a standard normal table or calculator, for z=1.2605z = 1.2605, the p-value for a one-tailed test is: p-value0.1039\text{p-value} \approx 0.1039


6. Decision

At a 1% significance level (α=0.01\alpha = 0.01), the p-value (0.10390.1039) is greater than 0.010.01. Therefore, we fail to reject the null hypothesis. There is not enough evidence to conclude that the proportion of students planning to study health-related fields is greater now than 10 years ago.


Final Answers

  • Alternative Sign: >> (right-tailed test)
  • Test Statistic: z1.2605z \approx 1.2605
  • p-value: 0.1039\approx 0.1039

Would you like a more detailed explanation of any step?

Related Questions:

  1. What is the importance of pooling proportions in hypothesis tests?
  2. How do sample sizes affect the test statistic in this problem?
  3. Why is this a right-tailed test instead of a two-tailed test?
  4. How does significance level influence decision-making in hypothesis tests?
  5. What other methods could be used to compare proportions in such surveys?

Tip: Always check if the assumptions for a hypothesis test (e.g., large enough sample size for normal approximation) are satisfied before proceeding!

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Hypothesis Testing
Proportion Testing
Pooled Proportion

Formulas

Pooled proportion: p = (x1 + x2) / (n1 + n2)
Test statistic: z = (p1 - p2) / sqrt(p(1-p)(1/n1 + 1/n2))

Theorems

Central Limit Theorem (normal approximation for proportions)

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 11-12 or College Introductory Statistics