Math Problem Statement

Consider the hypothesis test

H0: μ1 = μ2

H1: μ1 ≠ μ2

with known standard deviations σ1 = 10 and σ2 = 5. Suppose that sample sizes n1 = 10 and n2 = 15 and that  (x_1 ) ̅ = 4.7 and (x_2 ) ̅ = 7.8. Use α = 0.05 to find the confidence interval of differences. Explain how the test could be conducted with a confidence interval.

Solution

To construct a confidence interval for the difference between two population means μ1\mu_1 and μ2\mu_2 with known standard deviations, we use the following formula for the confidence interval of the difference in means:

(xˉ1xˉ2)±zα/2σ12n1+σ22n2\left( \bar{x}_1 - \bar{x}_2 \right) \pm z_{\alpha/2} \sqrt{\frac{\sigma_1^2}{n_1} + \frac{\sigma_2^2}{n_2}}

Step-by-Step Solution

Given Information

  • Hypotheses:
    • Null hypothesis (H0H_0): μ1=μ2\mu_1 = \mu_2
    • Alternative hypothesis (H1H_1): μ1μ2\mu_1 \neq \mu_2
  • Known standard deviations:
    • σ1=10\sigma_1 = 10
    • σ2=5\sigma_2 = 5
  • Sample sizes:
    • n1=10n_1 = 10
    • n2=15n_2 = 15
  • Sample means:
    • xˉ1=4.7\bar{x}_1 = 4.7
    • xˉ2=7.8\bar{x}_2 = 7.8
  • Significance level:
    • α=0.05\alpha = 0.05

Since this is a two-tailed test (due to H1:μ1μ2H_1: \mu_1 \neq \mu_2), we will use zα/2=z0.025z_{\alpha/2} = z_{0.025}. For α=0.05\alpha = 0.05, z0.0251.96z_{0.025} \approx 1.96.

Step 1: Calculate the Difference in Sample Means

xˉ1xˉ2=4.77.8=3.1\bar{x}_1 - \bar{x}_2 = 4.7 - 7.8 = -3.1

Step 2: Calculate the Standard Error of the Difference

Standard Error=σ12n1+σ22n2=10210+5215\text{Standard Error} = \sqrt{\frac{\sigma_1^2}{n_1} + \frac{\sigma_2^2}{n_2}} = \sqrt{\frac{10^2}{10} + \frac{5^2}{15}} =10010+2515=10+1.6667=11.66673.42= \sqrt{\frac{100}{10} + \frac{25}{15}} = \sqrt{10 + 1.6667} = \sqrt{11.6667} \approx 3.42

Step 3: Calculate the Margin of Error

Margin of Error=zα/2×Standard Error=1.96×3.426.7\text{Margin of Error} = z_{\alpha/2} \times \text{Standard Error} = 1.96 \times 3.42 \approx 6.7

Step 4: Construct the Confidence Interval

Confidence Interval=(xˉ1xˉ2)±Margin of Error\text{Confidence Interval} = \left( \bar{x}_1 - \bar{x}_2 \right) \pm \text{Margin of Error} =3.1±6.7= -3.1 \pm 6.7 =(9.8,3.6)= (-9.8, 3.6)

Interpretation of the Confidence Interval

The 95% confidence interval for the difference in population means μ1μ2\mu_1 - \mu_2 is (9.8,3.6)(-9.8, 3.6).

How the Test Could be Conducted with a Confidence Interval

In a hypothesis test, we reject the null hypothesis H0H_0 if the confidence interval for μ1μ2\mu_1 - \mu_2 does not contain 0. Here, the interval (9.8,3.6)(-9.8, 3.6) includes 0, so we do not reject the null hypothesis at the α=0.05\alpha = 0.05 significance level. This suggests that there is insufficient evidence to conclude that μ1\mu_1 and μ2\mu_2 are different.

Would you like further clarification on this topic?

Here are some related questions you might find useful:

  1. How does the choice of confidence level affect the width of the confidence interval?
  2. What changes in the confidence interval calculation if we assume unequal variances?
  3. How would a one-tailed test alter the confidence interval interpretation?
  4. How can we conduct a similar test if the sample sizes are much smaller?
  5. What are Type I and Type II errors, and how do they relate to this test?

Tip: Remember that a confidence interval provides an estimate for the range in which the true population parameter lies, with a given level of certainty (95% in this case). It can also inform hypothesis testing by indicating whether a hypothesized value (like 0) is plausible.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Hypothesis Testing
Confidence Interval
Normal Distribution
Two-Sample Z-Test

Formulas

Confidence interval formula for difference in means: (x̅1 - x̅2) ± z_(α/2) √((σ1^2 / n1) + (σ2^2 / n2))
Standard error of difference in means: √((σ1^2 / n1) + (σ2^2 / n2))
Z-score for α = 0.05 two-tailed test: z_(α/2) ≈ 1.96

Theorems

Central Limit Theorem

Suitable Grade Level

Undergraduate Level