Math Problem Statement

Suppose we have taken independent, random samples of sizes n1 = 7 and n2 = 7 from two normally distributed populations having means µ1 and µ2, and suppose we obtain x⎯⎯1 x ¯ 1 = 240, x⎯⎯2 x ¯ 2 = 210, s1 = 5, s2 = 6.

Assuming equal variances calculate a 95 percent confidence interval for µ1 − µ2. Can we be 95 percent confident that µ1 − µ2 is greater than 20? (Round your answers to 3 decimal places.)

Solution

To calculate a 95% confidence interval for the difference in means, μ1μ2\mu_1 - \mu_2, we'll follow these steps:

Given Information

  • Sample sizes: n1=7n_1 = 7, n2=7n_2 = 7
  • Sample means: xˉ1=240\bar{x}_1 = 240, xˉ2=210\bar{x}_2 = 210
  • Sample standard deviations: s1=5s_1 = 5, s2=6s_2 = 6
  • Significance level: α=0.05\alpha = 0.05, so the confidence level is 95%.

Step 1: Calculate the Pooled Standard Deviation

Since we assume equal variances, we use the pooled standard deviation formula:

sp=(n11)s12+(n21)s22n1+n22s_p = \sqrt{\frac{(n_1 - 1)s_1^2 + (n_2 - 1)s_2^2}{n_1 + n_2 - 2}}

Plugging in the values:

sp=(71)52+(71)627+72s_p = \sqrt{\frac{(7 - 1) \cdot 5^2 + (7 - 1) \cdot 6^2}{7 + 7 - 2}}

Calculating this:

sp=625+63612=150+21612=36612=30.55.524s_p = \sqrt{\frac{6 \cdot 25 + 6 \cdot 36}{12}} = \sqrt{\frac{150 + 216}{12}} = \sqrt{\frac{366}{12}} = \sqrt{30.5} \approx 5.524

Step 2: Calculate the Standard Error for the Difference in Means

The standard error (SE) for the difference in means is:

SE=sp1n1+1n2SE = s_p \cdot \sqrt{\frac{1}{n_1} + \frac{1}{n_2}}

Substitute the values:

SE=5.52417+17=5.52427=5.5240.53452.954SE = 5.524 \cdot \sqrt{\frac{1}{7} + \frac{1}{7}} = 5.524 \cdot \sqrt{\frac{2}{7}} = 5.524 \cdot 0.5345 \approx 2.954

Step 3: Determine the t-Score for a 95% Confidence Level

With n1+n22=12n_1 + n_2 - 2 = 12 degrees of freedom, the two-tailed critical t-value at 95% confidence is approximately t0.025,12=2.179t_{0.025, 12} = 2.179.

Step 4: Calculate the Confidence Interval

The confidence interval for μ1μ2\mu_1 - \mu_2 is given by:

(xˉ1xˉ2)±tSE(\bar{x}_1 - \bar{x}_2) \pm t \cdot SE

Substitute the values:

(240210)±2.1792.954(240 - 210) \pm 2.179 \cdot 2.954

Calculating this:

30±2.1792.954=30±6.43330 \pm 2.179 \cdot 2.954 = 30 \pm 6.433

So, the 95% confidence interval for μ1μ2\mu_1 - \mu_2 is:

(23.567,36.433)(23.567, 36.433)

Interpretation

Since the entire confidence interval (23.567,36.433)(23.567, 36.433) is greater than 20, we can be 95% confident that μ1μ2\mu_1 - \mu_2 is greater than 20.


Do you want more details on any part of the process, or have any questions?

Here are related questions to expand on this topic:

  1. How would the confidence interval change if the sample sizes were larger?
  2. What would the confidence interval be if we did not assume equal variances?
  3. How does the choice of confidence level affect the width of the confidence interval?
  4. Can a confidence interval include zero, and what would that imply about the means?
  5. How can a hypothesis test complement this confidence interval analysis?

Tip: When calculating confidence intervals, remember that larger sample sizes generally yield narrower intervals, improving precision.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Confidence Interval
Hypothesis Testing
Pooled Standard Deviation
T-Distribution
Standard Error

Formulas

Pooled Standard Deviation: sp = √(( (n1 - 1)s1^2 + (n2 - 1)s2^2 ) / (n1 + n2 - 2))
Standard Error for the Difference in Means: SE = sp * √( (1/n1) + (1/n2) )
Confidence Interval Formula: (x̄1 - x̄2) ± t * SE

Theorems

t-Distribution
Central Limit Theorem

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 11-12