Math Problem Statement

Exercise 1:

Let ( \alpha ) be a strictly positive integer and ( \left(X_{n}\right){n \in \mathbb{N}^{*}} ) be a sequence. The distribution of ( X{n} ) is defined by the following table:

[

\begin{array}{|c|c|c|}

\hline

x & 0 & n \

\hline

P(X_{n} = x) & 1-\frac{1}{n^{2}} & \frac{1}{n^{2}} \

\hline

\end{array}

]

  1. Calculate the generating function of ( X_{n} ), then derive ( E\left[X_{n}^{2}\right] ).

  2. Suppose ( \alpha=3 ). Does the sequence ( X_{n} ) converge to 0 in quadratic convergence, in probability, or in law?

  3. Suppose now that ( \alpha=2 ). Answer the same question as in (2).

Solution

Solution Outline

1. Generating Function of XnX_n and E[Xn2]E[X_n^2]

Generating Function: The generating function GXn(t)G_{X_n}(t) of a discrete random variable XnX_n is defined as: GXn(t)=E[tXn]=xSupp(Xn)P(Xn=x)tx.G_{X_n}(t) = \mathbb{E}[t^{X_n}] = \sum_{x \in \text{Supp}(X_n)} P(X_n = x) t^x. For XnX_n, the values of xx are {0,n}\{0, n\}. Therefore: GXn(t)=P(Xn=0)t0+P(Xn=n)tn=(11n2)1+1n2tn.G_{X_n}(t) = P(X_n = 0) \cdot t^0 + P(X_n = n) \cdot t^n = (1 - \frac{1}{n^2}) \cdot 1 + \frac{1}{n^2} \cdot t^n. Simplify: GXn(t)=11n2+1n2tn.G_{X_n}(t) = 1 - \frac{1}{n^2} + \frac{1}{n^2} t^n.

Second Moment E[Xn2]E[X_n^2]: The second moment E[Xn2]E[X_n^2] is computed as: E[Xn2]=xSupp(Xn)x2P(Xn=x).E[X_n^2] = \sum_{x \in \text{Supp}(X_n)} x^2 P(X_n = x). For XnX_n, this becomes: E[Xn2]=(02)P(Xn=0)+(n2)P(Xn=n).E[X_n^2] = (0^2) \cdot P(X_n = 0) + (n^2) \cdot P(X_n = n). Substitute P(Xn=0)=11n2P(X_n = 0) = 1 - \frac{1}{n^2} and P(Xn=n)=1n2P(X_n = n) = \frac{1}{n^2}: E[Xn2]=(n2)1n2=1.E[X_n^2] = (n^2) \cdot \frac{1}{n^2} = 1.


2. Convergence of XnX_n When α=3\alpha = 3

When α=3\alpha = 3, we analyze convergence types:

  • Quadratic Convergence: Quadratic convergence means E[Xn2]0E[X_n^2] \to 0 as nn \to \infty. Here, E[Xn2]=1E[X_n^2] = 1, so quadratic convergence does not occur.

  • Convergence in Probability: Convergence in probability means for any ϵ>0\epsilon > 0: P(Xn0>ϵ)0 as n.P(|X_n - 0| > \epsilon) \to 0 \text{ as } n \to \infty. Here: P(Xn0>ϵ)=P(Xn=n)=1n2.P(|X_n - 0| > \epsilon) = P(X_n = n) = \frac{1}{n^2}. As nn \to \infty, 1n20\frac{1}{n^2} \to 0. Thus, XnX_n converges to 0 in probability.

  • Convergence in Law: Convergence in law means the distribution of XnX_n converges to the distribution of 0 (a degenerate random variable). As P(Xn=0)1P(X_n = 0) \to 1 and P(Xn=n)0P(X_n = n) \to 0 as nn \to \infty, XnX_n converges in law to 0.

Conclusion for α=3\alpha = 3: XnX_n converges to 0 in probability and in law, but not quadratically.


3. Convergence of XnX_n When α=2\alpha = 2

For α=2\alpha = 2, the distribution of XnX_n and its properties remain unchanged because E[Xn2]=1E[X_n^2] = 1, regardless of α\alpha. The reasoning is identical to part (2).

Conclusion for α=2\alpha = 2: XnX_n converges to 0 in probability and in law, but not quadratically.


Summary of Results

  1. Generating Function: GXn(t)=11n2+1n2tn.G_{X_n}(t) = 1 - \frac{1}{n^2} + \frac{1}{n^2} t^n. Second Moment: E[Xn2]=1.E[X_n^2] = 1.

  2. For α=3\alpha = 3:

    • Converges in probability: Yes.
    • Converges in law: Yes.
    • Quadratic convergence: No.
  3. For α=2\alpha = 2:

    • Converges in probability: Yes.
    • Converges in law: Yes.
    • Quadratic convergence: No.

Follow-Up Questions

  1. Can you compute E[Xn]E[X_n] and verify if it converges to 0 as nn \to \infty?
  2. How does the variance Var(Xn)\text{Var}(X_n) behave as nn \to \infty?
  3. What happens if P(Xn=n)P(X_n = n) is changed to 1nα\frac{1}{n^\alpha} for general α>0\alpha > 0?
  4. How does the convergence of XnX_n depend on α\alpha?
  5. Can you prove convergence in law using the characteristic function of XnX_n?

Tip: Always check the definitions of convergence types to determine how they apply to a sequence.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Probability
Generating Functions
Moments of Random Variables
Convergence Types in Probability

Formulas

Generating function: \( G_{X_n}(t) = \mathbb{E}[t^{X_n}] \)
Second moment: \( E[X_n^2] = \sum x^2 P(X_n = x) \)
Probability convergence conditions: \( P(|X_n - a| > \epsilon) \to 0 \)

Theorems

Law of Total Probability
Definition of Convergence in Probability
Definition of Convergence in Law
Quadratic Convergence Criteria

Suitable Grade Level

Undergraduate (Math or Statistics)