Math Problem Statement

Write an exponential regression equation for the following data, rounding all coefficients to the nearest thousandth. xx yy 1 774 4 1032 7 1246 8 1471 9 1619

Solution

To write an exponential regression equation for the given data, we need to find an equation of the form:

y=abxy = a \cdot b^x

Where:

  • aa is the initial value (the value of yy when x=0x = 0),
  • bb is the growth rate.

We can find the values of aa and bb using exponential regression techniques, which typically involve a logarithmic transformation.

Steps to find the coefficients:

  1. Transform the equation: Take the natural logarithm of both sides: ln(y)=ln(a)+xln(b)\ln(y) = \ln(a) + x \ln(b) This is now a linear equation in terms of ln(y)\ln(y) and xx, which can be solved using linear regression.

  2. Use linear regression: Fit the equation ln(y)=ln(a)+xln(b)\ln(y) = \ln(a) + x \ln(b) to the given data points.

Let's compute the values of aa and bb.


Data Set:

xxyy
1774
41032
71246
81471
91619

Now, I will perform the linear regression for ln(y)\ln(y) vs. xx to determine the coefficients ln(a)\ln(a) and ln(b)\ln(b).


I'll calculate the coefficients now. numpy as np from scipy import stats

Given data

x_values = np.array([1, 4, 7, 8, 9]) y_values = np.array([774, 1032, 1246, 1471, 1619])

Apply natural log transformation to y-values

ln_y = np.log(y_values)

Perform linear regression on ln(y) vs x

slope, intercept, r_value, p_value, std_err = stats.linregress(x_values, ln_y)

Calculate a and b

a = np.exp(intercept) b = np.exp(slope)

Round a and b to the nearest thousandth

a_rounded = round(a, 3) b_rounded = round(b, 3)

a_rounded, b_roundedThe exponential regression equation for the given data, rounded to the nearest thousandth, is:

y=707.431(1.094)xy = 707.431 \cdot (1.094)^x

Would you like a more detailed explanation of the process or have any other questions? Here are some related questions you might find helpful:

  1. How can I interpret the coefficients aa and bb in an exponential model?
  2. How do I perform exponential regression using software like Excel or Python?
  3. What is the difference between exponential and linear regression?
  4. How can I use this exponential model to predict values of yy for new xx-values?
  5. What happens if the data follows a different type of growth, like logistic growth, and how does that affect the model?

Tip: When fitting exponential models, always check the residuals to ensure the model fits the data well and the error is minimized.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Exponential Regression
Linear Transformation
Natural Logarithm
Linear Regression

Formulas

y = a * b^x
ln(y) = ln(a) + x * ln(b)

Theorems

Exponential Regression Theorem
Logarithmic Transformation

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 11-12