Math Problem Statement

x 1 2 3 4 5 6 y 693 910 1159 1651 2190 2935

Use regression to find an exponential equation that best fits the data above. The equation has form
y

a b x where:

a =

b =

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Solution

To find an exponential regression equation of the form y=abxy = a \cdot b^x that best fits the data given, we can follow these steps:

1. Set Up the Equation for Exponential Regression

An exponential model can be linearized by taking the natural logarithm of both sides: ln(y)=ln(a)+xln(b)\ln(y) = \ln(a) + x \ln(b) This allows us to treat it as a linear equation in terms of ln(y)\ln(y), where:

  • ln(y)\ln(y) is the dependent variable,
  • xx is the independent variable,
  • ln(a)\ln(a) is the intercept,
  • ln(b)\ln(b) is the slope.

2. Transform the Data

For each yy value, compute ln(y)\ln(y) to linearize the data. Here is the data table with xx and ln(y)\ln(y):

xxyyln(y)\ln(y)
1693ln(693)6.5407\ln(693) \approx 6.5407
2910ln(910)6.8134\ln(910) \approx 6.8134
31159ln(1159)7.0557\ln(1159) \approx 7.0557
41651ln(1651)7.4085\ln(1651) \approx 7.4085
52190ln(2190)7.6924\ln(2190) \approx 7.6924
62935ln(2935)7.9833\ln(2935) \approx 7.9833

3. Perform Linear Regression on xx and ln(y)\ln(y)

Using linear regression techniques, we calculate the best-fit line ln(y)=mx+c\ln(y) = m \cdot x + c, where mm is the slope and cc is the intercept.

After calculating or using a regression tool:

  • The slope m0.2893m \approx 0.2893,
  • The intercept c6.248c \approx 6.248.

4. Convert Back to the Exponential Model

Since ln(y)=6.248+0.2893x\ln(y) = 6.248 + 0.2893 \cdot x, we exponentiate both sides to find yy in terms of xx: y=e6.248e0.2893xy = e^{6.248} \cdot e^{0.2893x} This gives:

  • ae6.248518.12a \approx e^{6.248} \approx 518.12,
  • be0.28931.3356b \approx e^{0.2893} \approx 1.3356.

Final Answer

The exponential equation that best fits the data is: y=518.121.3356xy = 518.12 \cdot 1.3356^x

Would you like further details on the calculation steps or an explanation of any part of this process?


Related Questions:

  1. How can we use this model to predict values beyond x=6x = 6?
  2. What is the significance of the base bb in an exponential equation?
  3. How would the model change if the growth rate was decreasing instead?
  4. What if we needed a different regression model, such as a polynomial regression?
  5. How accurate is the exponential model compared to the actual data?

Tip:

When using exponential regression, always check if the relationship between variables is truly exponential, as other models might sometimes fit better depending on the data pattern.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Exponential Regression
Linearization
Logarithmic Transformation

Formulas

Exponential model: y = a * b^x
Linearized form: ln(y) = ln(a) + x * ln(b)

Theorems

Least Squares Method
Properties of Logarithms

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 10-12