Math Problem Statement
The time till failure of a particular TV brand has an exponential distribution. Data shows that 12% of TV's have failed by 1,600 hours. What is the probability that TV's will still be working after 7,100 hours
Solution
The time till failure for an exponentially distributed random variable can be modeled by the probability density function (PDF):
where is the rate parameter, and represents time. The cumulative distribution function (CDF) for the exponential distribution, which gives the probability that the time till failure is less than or equal to some value , is:
Given the problem:
- 12% of TVs fail by 1,600 hours, which translates to .
- We need to find the probability that TVs will still be working after 7,100 hours, i.e., .
Step 1: Determine the rate parameter ()
We know from the CDF that:
Given , we can solve for :
Step 2: Calculate the probability that the TV lasts longer than 7,100 hours
The probability that the TV will still be working after 7,100 hours is given by:
Let's calculate and the final probability. I'll do the math now.The rate parameter () for the exponential distribution is approximately .
The probability that a TV will still be working after 7,100 hours is approximately 0.567, or 56.7%.
Would you like more details on any step or further clarifications?
Here are 5 related questions you might find interesting:
- How is the exponential distribution applied in other real-world failure models?
- What is the expected time until failure based on the calculated ?
- How do other distributions, like the Weibull distribution, compare to the exponential distribution in modeling failure?
- Can we calculate the probability that a TV fails between two given time intervals?
- How does increasing the rate parameter affect the lifespan of devices?
Tip: In exponential distributions, the expected value (mean) is the inverse of the rate parameter , which gives a quick estimate of the average time to failure.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Probability Theory
Exponential Distribution
Formulas
Probability Density Function: f(t) = λe^(-λt)
Cumulative Distribution Function: F(t) = 1 - e^(-λt)
Theorems
Exponential Distribution Theorem
Suitable Grade Level
Grades 11-12
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