Math Problem Statement
What is the Expected Value of Game 2 (dice) assuming you play all $100 on Game 2?
Solution
To calculate the expected value (EV) of a game, we need to know the possible outcomes, their probabilities, and the associated payouts.
Assuming Game 2 is a dice game, let's clarify a few things. Since I don't have the specific rules for Game 2, I will base the calculation on a typical dice game. Please let me know if the game rules differ.
Typical Dice Game Example:
Assume:
- You roll a fair 6-sided die, and each face has a different value from 1 to 6.
- The game payout depends on the number rolled (e.g., if you roll 1, the payout is different than rolling 6).
- Let's assume the payouts are linearly related to the dice roll, e.g., rolling a 1 gives a payout of $10, rolling a 2 gives $20, and so on, up to rolling a 6, which gives $60.
Step 1: Define possible outcomes and payouts
- Roll a 1: Payout = $10
- Roll a 2: Payout = $20
- Roll a 3: Payout = $30
- Roll a 4: Payout = $40
- Roll a 5: Payout = $50
- Roll a 6: Payout = $60
Step 2: Probability of each outcome
Since it's a fair die, the probability of rolling any number is:
Step 3: Calculate the Expected Value (EV)
The expected value is the sum of all possible outcomes multiplied by their respective probabilities. So, the EV of this game would be:
Let's compute this.
Step 4: Apply Your $100 Bet
If you bet $100, the expected payout (based on the EV of 35) would be:
So, if you play all $100 on Game 2 under these assumptions, the Expected Value of your payout is approximately $58.33.
If the payout structure or rules differ, please clarify, and I can adjust the calculation.
Would you like further details or have any questions?
Related questions:
- What is the standard deviation for this game, and how does it affect risk?
- How does the expected value change if the payouts are different?
- What is the probability of winning at least $50 in this game?
- How does the expected value change if you bet half your money?
- How do multiple rounds affect the expected value over time?
Tip:
Understanding expected value helps manage risk and maximize long-term gains in probability-based games.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Probability
Expected Value
Formulas
Expected Value (EV) = Sum of (Outcome * Probability)
EV = (1/6 * 10) + (1/6 * 20) + (1/6 * 30) + (1/6 * 40) + (1/6 * 50) + (1/6 * 60)
Expected Payout = (EV / Maximum Payout) * Bet Amount
Theorems
Law of Large Numbers
Basic Probability
Suitable Grade Level
Grades 10-12