Math Problem Statement
A target consists of three concentric circles with radii of $1,\ 3,$ and $5.$ Point values are assigned to each region as shown. [asy] size(100); draw(circle((0,0),5)); draw(circle((0,0),3)); draw(circle((0,0),1)); label("$10$",(0,0)); label("$5$",(0,-2)); label("$2$",(0,-4)); [/asy] A dart is thrown at the target and hits the target at a random point. What is the expected point value of the region hit by the dart?
Solution
The problem involves a target consisting of three concentric circles, each with a different point value. The goal is to calculate the expected point value of the region hit by a dart thrown at the target. We are given the following information:
- The innermost circle has a radius of and corresponds to a point value of .
- The middle circle has a radius of and corresponds to a point value of .
- The outermost circle has a radius of and corresponds to a point value of .
Step 1: Calculate the areas of the regions
The target is divided into three regions:
- The innermost region is a circle of radius 1.
- The second region is a ring between the circles of radius 1 and 3.
- The third region is a ring between the circles of radius 3 and 5.
We begin by calculating the areas of these regions.
Area of the innermost circle:
The area of a circle is given by the formula , where is the radius. For the innermost circle with radius :
Area of the second region (the ring between radii 1 and 3):
The area of this region is the area of the circle with radius 3 minus the area of the circle with radius 1:
Area of the third region (the ring between radii 3 and 5):
The area of this region is the area of the circle with radius 5 minus the area of the circle with radius 3:
Step 2: Calculate the total area of the target
The total area of the target is the area of the circle with radius 5:
Step 3: Determine the expected point value
The expected point value is the weighted average of the point values of the regions, where the weight of each region is its area relative to the total area. Let be the random variable representing the point value of the region hit by the dart. The expected value is given by:
Substitute the areas and point values:
Simplify the expressions:
Now, calculate each term:
Add the terms:
Thus, the expected point value is:
Final Answer:
The expected point value of the region hit by the dart is .
Would you like further clarification or have additional questions? Here are some related topics to explore:
- How does the expected value change if the radii and point values are adjusted?
- How would the expected value change if the dart were thrown with a non-uniform probability distribution?
- What is the expected point value for a target with four concentric circles instead of three?
- How can we generalize the concept of expected value for any number of concentric regions?
- How do we calculate the expected value if the point values are given as discrete probabilities for each region?
Tip: The expected value is essentially the average outcome when taking into account the likelihood of hitting each region and its associated point value.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Probability
Geometry
Expected Value
Formulas
Area of a circle: πr^2
Expected Value formula: E[X] = Σ (P(x) * x)
Theorems
Law of Total Probability
Geometric Probability
Suitable Grade Level
Grades 9-12
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