Math Problem Statement

Five thousand tickets are sold at​ $1 each for a charity raffle. Tickets are to be drawn at random and monetary prizes awarded as​ follows: 1 prize of ​$500​, 3 prizes of ​$200​, 5 prizes of ​$50​, and 20 prizes of​ $5. What is the expected value of this raffle if you buy 1​ ticket? Question content area bottom Part 1 Let X be the random variable for the amount won on a single raffle ticket. ​E(X)equals dollars ​(Round to the nearest cent as​ needed.)

Solution

To calculate the expected value E(X)E(X), we sum the products of the probabilities and the values for each possible outcome:

  1. Calculate the probabilities for each prize:

    • Total tickets sold: 5,000
    • Probability of winning a $500 prize: 15000\frac{1}{5000}
    • Probability of winning a $200 prize: 35000\frac{3}{5000}
    • Probability of winning a $50 prize: 55000\frac{5}{5000}
    • Probability of winning a $5 prize: 205000\frac{20}{5000}
    • Probability of winning no prize: 49715000\frac{4971}{5000}
  2. Calculate the contribution to E(X)E(X) from each outcome:

    • For $500: \frac{1}{5000} \times 500 = 0.1
    • For $200: \frac{3}{5000} \times 200 = 0.12
    • For $50: \frac{5}{5000} \times 50 = 0.05
    • For $5: \frac{20}{5000} \times 5 = 0.02
    • For $0 (no prize): \frac{4971}{5000} \times 0 = 0
  3. Sum these values: E(X)=0.1+0.12+0.05+0.02=0.29E(X) = 0.1 + 0.12 + 0.05 + 0.02 = 0.29

Thus, the expected value E(X)E(X) is $0.29. This means that, on average, each ticket buyer can expect to win 29 cents per ticket.


Do you want more details or have questions about this calculation?

Here are some follow-up questions for better understanding:

  1. How does the probability of winning each prize affect the expected value?
  2. What happens to E(X)E(X) if more tickets are sold for the same prizes?
  3. How is the expected value helpful in evaluating whether to buy a ticket?
  4. What is the variance and standard deviation of this raffle's winnings?
  5. Can we design a new prize structure to increase E(X)E(X)?

Tip: Expected value is a long-term average, not a guarantee for individual outcomes!

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Probability
Expected Value

Formulas

Expected Value: E(X) = Σ [P(x) * x]

Theorems

Law of Total Probability

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 9-12