Math Problem Statement

Calculate the expected value of XE(X), for the given probability distribution.

x

−30

−10 

10 

20 

40

P(X = x

0.1

0.1

0.1

0.5

0.2

E(X) = 

Solution

The expected value of a random variable XX, denoted as E(X)E(X), is calculated using the formula:

E(X)=ixiP(X=xi)E(X) = \sum_{i} x_i P(X = x_i)

Where xix_i are the possible values of XX, and P(X=xi)P(X = x_i) is the corresponding probability.

Using the given data:

x={30,10,0,10,20,40}x = \{-30, -10, 0, 10, 20, 40\} P(X=x)={0.1,0.1,0.1,0.5,0,0.2}P(X = x) = \{0.1, 0.1, 0.1, 0.5, 0, 0.2\}

We calculate E(X)E(X):

E(X)=(30)(0.1)+(10)(0.1)+(0)(0.1)+(10)(0.5)+(20)(0)+(40)(0.2)E(X) = (-30)(0.1) + (-10)(0.1) + (0)(0.1) + (10)(0.5) + (20)(0) + (40)(0.2)

Performing the calculations step-by-step:

  1. (30)(0.1)=3(-30)(0.1) = -3
  2. (10)(0.1)=1(-10)(0.1) = -1
  3. (0)(0.1)=0(0)(0.1) = 0
  4. (10)(0.5)=5(10)(0.5) = 5
  5. (20)(0)=0(20)(0) = 0
  6. (40)(0.2)=8(40)(0.2) = 8

Summing these:

E(X)=31+0+5+0+8=9E(X) = -3 - 1 + 0 + 5 + 0 + 8 = 9

Final Answer:

E(X)=9E(X) = 9

Would you like further clarification or related insights? Here are some related questions to explore:

  1. How does the expected value change with modified probabilities?
  2. What is the variance of XX for this distribution?
  3. How would the expected value change if x=20x = 20 had a probability of 0.2?
  4. Can expected value be used to predict outcomes in the long run?
  5. What happens to E(X)E(X) if all probabilities are doubled?

Tip: Expected value provides the mean outcome of a probability distribution, which is useful for understanding the "average" result in probabilistic scenarios.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Probability
Expected Value
Weighted Averages

Formulas

E(X) = Σ[x_i * P(X = x_i)]

Theorems

Law of Total Expectation

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 9-12