Math Problem Statement

In a genetics experiment on​ peas, one sample of offspring contained 366 green peas and 533 yellow peas. Based on those​ results, estimate the probability of getting an offspring pea that is green. Is the result reasonably close to the value of three fourths 3 4 that was​ expected? Question content area bottom Part 1 The probability of getting a green pea is approximately enter your response here. ​(Type an integer or decimal rounded to three decimal places as​ needed.)

Solution

To estimate the probability of getting a green pea, we use the empirical probability formula:

P(green pea)=Number of green peasTotal number of peasP(\text{green pea}) = \frac{\text{Number of green peas}}{\text{Total number of peas}}

Given:

  • Number of green peas = 366
  • Number of yellow peas = 533
  • Total number of peas = 366+533=899366 + 533 = 899

Step 1: Calculate the empirical probability

P(green pea)=3668990.407P(\text{green pea}) = \frac{366}{899} \approx 0.407

So, the probability of getting a green pea is approximately 0.407.


Step 2: Compare with the expected value 34=0.75\frac{3}{4} = 0.75

Clearly, the result 0.4070.407 is not very close to the expected value of 0.75. This suggests that either there might be some experimental deviation, or the underlying assumptions about the expected proportion may not hold.


Do you need further clarification on how these probabilities work or any other details?

Here are 5 related questions to consider:

  1. How can we interpret probabilities using relative frequency in the long term?
  2. What statistical tests can determine if the observed ratio significantly differs from the expected ratio?
  3. What could be some reasons for deviation from expected genetic outcomes?
  4. How would the probability change if the sample size was larger?
  5. How is a chi-square test used to compare observed and expected outcomes in genetics?

Tip: When comparing observed and expected outcomes, increasing the sample size tends to reduce random deviations.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Probability
Empirical Probability
Comparison of Observed and Expected Outcomes

Formulas

P(green pea) = Number of green peas / Total number of peas
Expected probability = 3/4

Theorems

Law of Large Numbers
Empirical Probability Formula

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 9-12