Math Problem Statement

A stationary coupled multivariate time series is defined by x t = λ y t − 1 + σ z t y t = λ x t − 1 + σ w t where λ and σ are constants, and z t and w t are independent, uncorrelated standard Gaussian random variables. That is, w t , z t ∼ N ( 0 , 1 ) E [ z t w s ] = 0 ∀ t , s E [ z t z s ] = E [ w t w s ] = δ t s now What are the lag- l cross-covariances Cov ( x t , y t − l ) ? Express your answer in terms of λ , σ , l . Your answer will depend on the parity of l . Fill in the answer accordingly below: For even l , Cov ( x t , y t − l ) =? give me an answer no steps

Solution

For even ll,

Cov(xt,ytl)=λl1λ2\text{Cov}(x_t, y_{t-l}) = \frac{\lambda^l}{1 - \lambda^2}

Do you want details or have any questions? Here are some questions you might ask:

  1. How do we find the covariance for odd ll?
  2. Can you explain the derivation of this covariance result?
  3. What is the significance of the parity of ll in this context?
  4. How do λ\lambda and σ\sigma affect the stability of the time series?
  5. How does the Gaussian nature of ztz_t and wtw_t influence the covariance?

Tip: In time series analysis, understanding the properties of the covariance function can help in identifying the underlying processes and their interactions over time.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Time Series Analysis
Covariance
Gaussian Random Variables

Formulas

Covariance formula for lagged variables

Theorems

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Suitable Grade Level

Graduate Level