Math Problem Statement

A large gym wants to promote an exercise routine they developed. They split the classes they teach into one of two groups: one group that works out with the exercise routine currently implemented (this is group 1) and one group that works out with the new exercise routine (this is group 2). They then randomly select samples of size 25 and 27 from each group and measure the weight loss from one week and find the mean and standard deviation for each exercise routine. Weight loss is approximately normally distributed.

Are the conditions for a confidence interval for the difference between two means satisfied?

Are the data from the two samples random?

yes
no

Correct

Are the observations independent? In other words, is n1≤0.05N1 and n2≤0.05N2?

Yes, because in a large gym there is likely more than 500 individuals who did classes with the current routine and more than 540 individuals who did the class with the new routine.
No, because the gym is a small gym and so it is not likely that more than 500 individuals who did classes with the current routine and that more than 540 individuals did the class with the new routine.

Correct

Are the two samples large enough?

No, because the population is not approximately normal and either n1<30

or n2<30 , or both are less than 30. No, because although the population is approximately normal either n1<30 or n2<30 , or both are less than 30. It is impossible to know given the information. Yes, because although either n1<30 or n2<30 , or both are less than 30, the population is approximately normal. Yes, because the population is approximately normal and n1≥30 and n2≥30

.

Correct

Are the samples independent?

No, because individuals who are in group 1 are matched with individuals in group 2.
Yes, because individuals who are in group 1 are not matched with individuals in group 2.

Correct

Part 2 of 2

Give a 95% confidence interval, for μ1−μ2

given the following information.

¯x1=2.33 , s1=0.33, n1=25 ¯x2=2.36, s2=0.73, n2=27

Incorrect ± Incorrect Rounded to 2 decimal places.

Solution

Let's break this down and solve the problem step by step:

Part 1: Checking the Conditions for a Confidence Interval for the Difference Between Two Means

  1. Are the data from the two samples random?

    • Yes. The problem states that the samples are randomly selected from the two groups, so the data are random.
  2. Are the observations independent?

    • Yes. Since the gym is large and likely has more than 500 individuals doing the current routine and more than 540 doing the new routine, the condition n10.05N1n_1 \leq 0.05 N_1 and n20.05N2n_2 \leq 0.05 N_2 is satisfied.
  3. Are the two samples large enough?

    • Yes. Although n1<30n_1 < 30 and n2<30n_2 < 30, the problem states that the population is approximately normally distributed. Thus, this condition is satisfied.
  4. Are the samples independent?

    • Yes. The individuals in group 1 (current routine) are not matched with individuals in group 2 (new routine), so the samples are independent.

Part 2: Confidence Interval Calculation for μ1μ2\mu_1 - \mu_2

We are given the following information:

  • xˉ1=2.33\bar{x}_1 = 2.33, s1=0.33s_1 = 0.33, n1=25n_1 = 25 for group 1.
  • xˉ2=2.36\bar{x}_2 = 2.36, s2=0.73s_2 = 0.73, n2=27n_2 = 27 for group 2.
  • The population is approximately normally distributed, and the sample sizes are less than 30, so we will use the two-sample t-interval formula.

The formula for the confidence interval for the difference between two means μ1μ2\mu_1 - \mu_2 is:

(xˉ1xˉ2)±ts12n1+s22n2(\bar{x}_1 - \bar{x}_2) \pm t^* \cdot \sqrt{\frac{s_1^2}{n_1} + \frac{s_2^2}{n_2}}

Step 1: Calculate the point estimate

xˉ1xˉ2=2.332.36=0.03\bar{x}_1 - \bar{x}_2 = 2.33 - 2.36 = -0.03

Step 2: Calculate the standard error (SE)

SE=0.33225+0.73227=0.108925+0.532927=0.004356+0.019739=0.0240950.1552SE = \sqrt{\frac{0.33^2}{25} + \frac{0.73^2}{27}} = \sqrt{\frac{0.1089}{25} + \frac{0.5329}{27}} = \sqrt{0.004356 + 0.019739} = \sqrt{0.024095} \approx 0.1552

Step 3: Find the critical value tt^*

Since we are constructing a 95% confidence interval, we need the tt^*-value for a two-tailed test with a combined degrees of freedom. The degrees of freedom (using the more conservative approximation) can be calculated using a formula called the Welch-Satterthwaite equation, but to simplify, we approximate the degrees of freedom to be around n1+n22=25+272=50n_1 + n_2 - 2 = 25 + 27 - 2 = 50. The critical value tt^* for 50 degrees of freedom at a 95% confidence level is approximately 2.0096.

Step 4: Calculate the margin of error

Margin of error=t×SE=2.0096×0.15520.3119\text{Margin of error} = t^* \times SE = 2.0096 \times 0.1552 \approx 0.3119

Step 5: Compute the confidence interval

(xˉ1xˉ2)±Margin of error=0.03±0.3119(\bar{x}_1 - \bar{x}_2) \pm \text{Margin of error} = -0.03 \pm 0.3119

So, the 95% confidence interval for μ1μ2\mu_1 - \mu_2 is: (0.030.3119,0.03+0.3119)=(0.34,0.28)(-0.03 - 0.3119, -0.03 + 0.3119) = (-0.34, 0.28)

Final Answer:

The 95% confidence interval for the difference between the means μ1μ2\mu_1 - \mu_2 is approximately (-0.34, 0.28).

This means we are 95% confident that the true difference in weight loss between the two exercise routines lies between -0.34 and 0.28.


Would you like further explanation or clarification on any part? Here are some follow-up questions you might find useful:

  1. What is the significance of a confidence interval containing zero?
  2. How is the standard error affected by sample size?
  3. Why do we use a t-distribution instead of a normal distribution?
  4. How can we increase the precision of the confidence interval?
  5. What assumptions must be satisfied to apply a two-sample t-test?

Tip: The confidence interval tells us not only the possible range for the difference in means but also indicates if the new routine might not be significantly different from the old one if the interval includes zero.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Statistics
Confidence Interval
Difference of Means
Sampling

Formulas

Confidence interval for the difference between two means: (x̄1 - x̄2) ± t* * sqrt((s1^2/n1) + (s2^2/n2))
Standard error: sqrt((s1^2/n1) + (s2^2/n2))

Theorems

Central Limit Theorem
t-Distribution

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 11-12 or introductory college level