Math Problem Statement

You would like to construct a 95% confidence interval to estimate today's population mean temperature, so you make a series of measurements (a random sample) throughout the day. The mean of these measurements is 63.5 degrees Fahrenheit, and their standard deviation is 3.9 degrees Fahrenheit. (a) What is the best point estimate, based on the sample, to use for the population mean? (b) For each of the following sampling scenarios, determine which distribution should be used to calculate the critical value for the 95% confidence interval for the population mean. (The sample has size 17, and it is from a normally distributed population with an unknown standard deviation.)

Solution

Let's go through each part of the question and address the steps required to answer it.

Part (a)

The problem asks for the best point estimate, based on the sample, to use for the population mean temperature. The point estimate of the population mean, based on a sample, is the sample mean itself.

From the problem:

  • The sample mean temperature is given as 63.563.5 degrees Fahrenheit.

Thus, the best point estimate to use for the population mean is: 63.5 degrees.

Part (b)

For part (b), you are asked to choose the appropriate distribution to calculate the critical value for a 95% confidence interval in different sampling scenarios.

The scenario provided is:

  • Sample size is 17
  • The sample is from a normally distributed population
  • The population has an unknown standard deviation

When the population standard deviation is unknown and the sample size is relatively small (less than 30), the t-distribution is generally used for constructing confidence intervals. This is because the t-distribution accounts for the extra variability due to estimating the population standard deviation from the sample.

Answer for (b):

  • The appropriate choice in the table is t for this scenario.

Would you like further clarification on any part of this, or do you want details on calculating the confidence interval?

Here are five related questions that might expand your understanding:

  1. How does the t-distribution differ from the z-distribution?
  2. Why do we prefer the t-distribution over the z-distribution when the sample size is small?
  3. What would change if the sample size were larger, say 50, in this problem?
  4. How do you calculate a confidence interval using the t-distribution?
  5. What role does the confidence level (like 95%) play in constructing confidence intervals?

Tip: When dealing with small samples and unknown population standard deviations, always check if the population is normally distributed; this often justifies the use of the t-distribution.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Statistics
Confidence Interval
Point Estimate
Distribution Selection

Formulas

Point Estimate = Sample Mean
Use t-distribution when sample size is small and population standard deviation is unknown

Theorems

Central Limit Theorem (for confidence intervals)
Properties of Normal and t-Distributions

Suitable Grade Level

College Statistics or High School Advanced Placement (AP) Statistics