Math Problem Statement
Roll two fair dice. Each die has six faces.
• Let A be the event that either a 3 or 4 is rolled first, followed by an even number. • Let B be the event that the sum of the two rolls is at most 7. Find P(A | B). (Enter your answer as a fraction.) P(A | B) =
Solution
We are asked to find the conditional probability , which is the probability of event occurring given that event has occurred. To compute this, we use the formula:
Step 1: Define events
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Event A: The first roll is a 3 or 4, and the second roll is an even number. The possible even numbers are 2, 4, and 6.
So, event consists of the following pairs for the dice rolls:
- (3, 2), (3, 4), (3, 6)
- (4, 2), (4, 4), (4, 6)
Therefore, contains 6 outcomes:
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Event B: The sum of the two rolls is at most 7. The possible outcomes are:
- Sum = 2: (1, 1)
- Sum = 3: (1, 2), (2, 1)
- Sum = 4: (1, 3), (2, 2), (3, 1)
- Sum = 5: (1, 4), (2, 3), (3, 2), (4, 1)
- Sum = 6: (1, 5), (2, 4), (3, 3), (4, 2), (5, 1)
- Sum = 7: (1, 6), (2, 5), (3, 4), (4, 3), (5, 2), (6, 1)
Event consists of 21 outcomes.
Step 2: Calculate
The total number of possible outcomes when rolling two dice is . Event has 21 favorable outcomes. Thus, the probability of is:
Step 3: Calculate
Next, we need to find the outcomes where both and occur. These are the outcomes where:
- The first roll is a 3 or 4.
- The second roll is an even number (2, 4, or 6).
- The sum of the rolls is at most 7.
We can list the outcomes from and check which ones satisfy the condition of (sum ≤ 7):
- (3, 2): sum = 5 (valid)
- (3, 4): sum = 7 (valid)
- (3, 6): sum = 9 (not valid)
- (4, 2): sum = 6 (valid)
- (4, 4): sum = 8 (not valid)
- (4, 6): sum = 10 (not valid)
Thus, the outcomes in are:
So, contains 3 outcomes. Therefore, the probability of is:
Step 4: Calculate
Finally, we can use the formula for conditional probability:
Final Answer:
Would you like further details or clarification on any part of the process? Here's a list of related questions to explore:
- What is the probability of event occurring without the condition ?
- How does the conditional probability formula work in general, and why is it useful in probability theory?
- What is the probability of the sum being exactly 7 when rolling two dice?
- How would the probabilities change if the second roll needed to be an odd number instead of an even number?
- How do you calculate joint probabilities for independent events?
Tip: Always remember that the total number of outcomes in any probability calculation depends on the number of independent events. In the case of two dice, it's .
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Probability
Conditional Probability
Combinatorics
Formulas
Conditional Probability Formula: P(A | B) = P(A ∩ B) / P(B)
Total Probability of Rolling Two Dice: 6 × 6 = 36
Theorems
Law of Conditional Probability
Suitable Grade Level
Grades 9-12