Math Problem Statement

The problem asks us to compute the conditional probabilities P(A|B) and P(B|A) given the following probabilities: P(A) = 1/2, P(B) = 3/4, P(A ∪ B) = 11/12. Calculate P(A|B) and P(B|A).

Solution

The problem asks us to compute the conditional probabilities P(AB)P(A|B) and P(BA)P(B|A) given the following probabilities:

  1. P(A)=12P(A) = \frac{1}{2},
  2. P(B)=34P(B) = \frac{3}{4},
  3. P(AB)=1112P(A \cup B) = \frac{11}{12}.

We know that:

P(AB)=P(A)+P(B)P(AB).P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A \cap B).

Step 1: Find P(AB)P(A \cap B)

Substitute the given values into the formula:

1112=12+34P(AB).\frac{11}{12} = \frac{1}{2} + \frac{3}{4} - P(A \cap B).

First, express all terms with a denominator of 12: 1112=612+912P(AB).\frac{11}{12} = \frac{6}{12} + \frac{9}{12} - P(A \cap B).

Simplify: 1112=1512P(AB).\frac{11}{12} = \frac{15}{12} - P(A \cap B).

Solve for P(AB)P(A \cap B): P(AB)=15121112=412=13.P(A \cap B) = \frac{15}{12} - \frac{11}{12} = \frac{4}{12} = \frac{1}{3}.

Step 2: Calculate P(AB)P(A|B)

The conditional probability formula is: P(AB)=P(AB)P(B).P(A|B) = \frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(B)}.

Substitute P(AB)=13P(A \cap B) = \frac{1}{3} and P(B)=34P(B) = \frac{3}{4}: P(AB)=1334=13×43=49.P(A|B) = \frac{\frac{1}{3}}{\frac{3}{4}} = \frac{1}{3} \times \frac{4}{3} = \frac{4}{9}.

Step 3: Calculate P(BA)P(B|A)

The conditional probability formula is: P(BA)=P(AB)P(A).P(B|A) = \frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(A)}.

Substitute P(AB)=13P(A \cap B) = \frac{1}{3} and P(A)=12P(A) = \frac{1}{2}: P(BA)=1312=13×2=23.P(B|A) = \frac{\frac{1}{3}}{\frac{1}{2}} = \frac{1}{3} \times 2 = \frac{2}{3}.

Final Answers:

  1. P(AB)=49P(A|B) = \frac{4}{9},
  2. P(BA)=23P(B|A) = \frac{2}{3}.

Would you like a more detailed explanation or help with a similar problem?


Here are 5 related questions to expand your understanding:

  1. What is the significance of conditional probability in real-world scenarios?
  2. How is P(AB)P(A|B) interpreted in terms of dependency between events AA and BB?
  3. If AA and BB are independent, how would P(AB)P(A|B) and P(BA)P(B|A) change?
  4. How can we compute P(AB)P(A \cap B) if P(AB)P(A|B) and P(B)P(B) are given?
  5. What is the relationship between P(AB)P(A \cap B) and P(BA)P(B \cap A)?

Tip: Always confirm whether the given events AA and BB are mutually exclusive, as it simplifies calculations.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Conditional Probability
Probability Theory
Set Theory

Formulas

P(A ∪ B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A ∩ B)
P(A|B) = P(A ∩ B) / P(B)
P(B|A) = P(A ∩ B) / P(A)

Theorems

Conditional Probability Theorem
Inclusion-Exclusion Principle

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 10-12