Math Problem Statement
The accompanying data represent the yearly amount of solar power installed (in megawatts) in a particular area from 2000 through 2008. The trend forecasting equations below were found, where X is the number of years after 2000. Complete parts (a) through (d) below.
ModifyingAbove Upper Y with caret Subscript i Baseline equals negative 7.044 plus 28.2333 Upper X Subscript iYi=−7.044+28.2333Xi
ModifyingAbove Upper Y with caret Subscript i Baseline equals 25.76 plus 0.112 Upper X Subscript i Baseline plus 3.5152 Upper X Subscript i Superscript 2Yi=25.76+0.112Xi+3.5152X2i The accompanying data represent the yearly amount of solar power installed (in megawatts) in a particular area from 2000 through 2008. The trend forecasting equations below were found, where X is the number of years after 2000. Complete parts (a) through (d) below.
ModifyingAbove Upper Y with caret Subscript i Baseline equals negative 7.044 plus 28.2333 Upper X Subscript iYi=−7.044+28.2333Xi
ModifyingAbove Upper Y with caret Subscript i Baseline equals 25.76 plus 0.112 Upper X Subscript i Baseline plus 3.5152 Upper X Subscript i Superscript 2Yi=25.76+0.112Xi+3.5152X2i
Year
Amount
2000
23
2001
26
2002
46
2003
67
2004
84
2005
103
2006
144
2007
208
2008
252 Compute the standard error of the estimate
(Upper S Subscript YXSYX)
for each model.
Linear
Quadratic
Upper S Subscript YXSYX
enter your response here
enter your response here
(Round to three decimal places as needed.)
Bold b.b.
Compute the
MADMAD
for each model.
Linear
Quadratic
MADMAD
enter your response here
enter your response here
(Round to three decimal places as needed.)
Bold c.c.
On the basis of (a) and (b) and the principle of parsimony, which forecasting model would you select?
The model with the
▼ largest
smallest
values of
Upper S Subscript YXSYX
and
MADMAD
should be used, which is the
▼ linear
autoregressive
exponential
quadratic
model.
Solution
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Regression Analysis
Linear Models
Quadratic Models
Standard Error of Estimate
Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD)
Parsimony Principle
Formulas
Standard Error of Estimate formula
Mean Absolute Deviation formula
Theorems
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Suitable Grade Level
Advanced Undergraduate
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