Math Problem Statement

The accompanying data represent the yearly amount of solar power installed​ (in megawatts) in a particular area from 2000 through 2008. The trend forecasting equations below were​ found, where X is the number of years after 2000. Complete parts​ (a) through​ (d) below.

ModifyingAbove Upper Y with caret Subscript i Baseline equals negative 7.044 plus 28.2333 Upper X Subscript iYi=−7.044+28.2333Xi

ModifyingAbove Upper Y with caret Subscript i Baseline equals 25.76 plus 0.112 Upper X Subscript i Baseline plus 3.5152 Upper X Subscript i Superscript 2Yi=25.76+0.112Xi+3.5152X2i The accompanying data represent the yearly amount of solar power installed​ (in megawatts) in a particular area from 2000 through 2008. The trend forecasting equations below were​ found, where X is the number of years after 2000. Complete parts​ (a) through​ (d) below.

ModifyingAbove Upper Y with caret Subscript i Baseline equals negative 7.044 plus 28.2333 Upper X Subscript iYi=−7.044+28.2333Xi

ModifyingAbove Upper Y with caret Subscript i Baseline equals 25.76 plus 0.112 Upper X Subscript i Baseline plus 3.5152 Upper X Subscript i Superscript 2Yi=25.76+0.112Xi+3.5152X2i

Year

Amount

2000

23

2001

26

2002

46

2003

67

2004

84

2005

103

2006

144

2007

208

2008

252 Compute the standard error of the estimate

​(Upper S Subscript YXSYX​)

for each model.

Linear

Quadratic

Upper S Subscript YXSYX

enter your response here

enter your response here

​(Round to three decimal places as​ needed.)

Bold b.b.

Compute the

MADMAD

for each model.

Linear

Quadratic

MADMAD

enter your response here

enter your response here

​(Round to three decimal places as​ needed.)

Bold c.c.

On the basis of​ (a) and​ (b) and the principle of​ parsimony, which forecasting model would you​ select?

The model with the

▼   largest

smallest

values of

Upper S Subscript YXSYX

and

MADMAD

should be​ used, which is the

▼   linear

autoregressive

exponential

quadratic

model.

Solution

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Regression Analysis
Linear Models
Quadratic Models
Standard Error of Estimate
Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD)
Parsimony Principle

Formulas

Standard Error of Estimate formula
Mean Absolute Deviation formula

Theorems

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Suitable Grade Level

Advanced Undergraduate