Math Problem Statement

Answer the following question, keeping in mind that your answer must be a number between 0 and 1, i.e., do not use percentages. Give your final answer with at least 3 dp.

Compute the probability that an observation y drawn from a normal distribution with mean μ=49.87 and standard deviation σ=7.16 is in the interval (41.99,57.75), i.e., Prob(41.99<y<57.75).

Solution

To compute the probability that an observation yy drawn from a normal distribution with mean μ=49.87\mu = 49.87 and standard deviation σ=7.16\sigma = 7.16 falls within the interval (41.99,57.75)(41.99, 57.75), we follow these steps:

Step 1: Compute the z-scores

We need to calculate the z-scores for both bounds of the interval, y=41.99y = 41.99 and y=57.75y = 57.75.

The z-score formula is: z=yμσz = \frac{y - \mu}{\sigma}

For y=41.99y = 41.99:

z1=41.9949.877.16=7.887.161.1006z_1 = \frac{41.99 - 49.87}{7.16} = \frac{-7.88}{7.16} \approx -1.1006

For y=57.75y = 57.75:

z2=57.7549.877.16=7.887.161.1006z_2 = \frac{57.75 - 49.87}{7.16} = \frac{7.88}{7.16} \approx 1.1006

Step 2: Find the probabilities

Now we find the probabilities corresponding to these z-scores using the standard normal distribution table or a calculator.

  • The probability corresponding to z1=1.1006z_1 = -1.1006 is approximately 0.13580.1358.
  • The probability corresponding to z2=1.1006z_2 = 1.1006 is approximately 0.86420.8642.

Step 3: Calculate the probability of the interval

The probability that yy lies within the interval (41.99,57.75)(41.99, 57.75) is the difference between the two probabilities: P(41.99<y<57.75)=P(z2)P(z1)=0.86420.1358=0.7284P(41.99 < y < 57.75) = P(z_2) - P(z_1) = 0.8642 - 0.1358 = 0.7284

Final Answer

The probability that an observation yy falls within the interval (41.99,57.75)(41.99, 57.75) is 0.728 (to three decimal places).


Would you like more details or have any questions? Here are some related questions:

  1. What is the probability that yy is less than 41.99?
  2. How would the probability change if the interval were wider?
  3. What happens to the probability if the mean μ\mu is increased?
  4. How would a smaller standard deviation σ\sigma affect this probability?
  5. How can you visualize this probability on a normal distribution curve?

Tip: Understanding the z-score and how it relates to areas under the standard normal curve is key to solving problems involving normal distributions.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Normal Distribution
Z-score
Probability

Formulas

Z-score formula

Theorems

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Suitable Grade Level

College Level