Math Problem Statement

Answer the following question, keeping in mind that your answer must be a number between 0 and 1, i.e., do not use percentages. Give your final answer with at least 33 dp.

Compute the probability that an observation 𝑦y drawn from a normal distribution with mean 𝜇=27.54μ=27.54 and standard deviation 𝜎=6.3σ=6.3 is in the interval (20.78,33.89)(20.78,33.89), i.e., Prob(20.78<𝑦<33.89)Prob(20.78<y<33.89).

Solution

To calculate the probability that an observation yy drawn from a normal distribution with mean μ=27.54\mu = 27.54 and standard deviation σ=6.3\sigma = 6.3 falls within the interval (20.78,33.89)(20.78, 33.89), we can proceed as follows:

Step 1: Standardize the Values

We need to standardize the bounds of the interval by converting them into z-scores using the formula:

Z=XμσZ = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}

For the lower bound X=20.78X = 20.78:

Z1=20.7827.546.3=6.766.31.073015873015873Z_1 = \frac{20.78 - 27.54}{6.3} = \frac{-6.76}{6.3} \approx -1.073015873015873

For the upper bound X=33.89X = 33.89:

Z2=33.8927.546.3=6.356.31.007936507936508Z_2 = \frac{33.89 - 27.54}{6.3} = \frac{6.35}{6.3} \approx 1.007936507936508

Step 2: Calculate the Probabilities

Now, we need to find the probability that ZZ falls between these two z-scores:

P(1.073015873015873<Z<1.007936507936508)P(-1.073015873015873 < Z < 1.007936507936508)

This can be calculated as:

P(Z<1.007936507936508)P(Z<1.073015873015873)P(Z < 1.007936507936508) - P(Z < -1.073015873015873)

Using standard normal distribution tables or a calculator:

  • P(Z<1.007936507936508)0.843783206130044P(Z < 1.007936507936508) \approx 0.843783206130044
  • P(Z<1.073015873015873)0.141776703626858P(Z < -1.073015873015873) \approx 0.141776703626858

So the probability that yy is in the interval (20.78,33.89)(20.78, 33.89) is:

P(20.78<y<33.89)0.8437832061300440.141776703626858=0.702006502503186P(20.78 < y < 33.89) \approx 0.843783206130044 - 0.141776703626858 = 0.702006502503186

Final Answer

To the required precision of 33 decimal places:

0.702006502503185998457715145030625\boxed{0.702006502503185998457715145030625}

Would you like any further details or have any questions?

Here are some related questions you might find interesting:

  1. What is the probability that an observation yy is greater than 35?
  2. How would the probability change if the mean μ\mu increased to 30?
  3. What is the z-score for an observation yy of 25?
  4. How would the probability change if the standard deviation σ\sigma decreased to 4?
  5. What is the probability that yy falls outside the interval (20,35)(20, 35)?

Tip: When working with probabilities in normal distributions, understanding how to standardize values to z-scores is key to determining areas under the curve.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Normal Distribution
Standardization
Probability

Formulas

Standard normal distribution formula

Theorems

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Suitable Grade Level

Advanced College Level