Math Problem Statement

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Part 1

Compute the indicated probabilities by referring to the probability tree.

​(A)****

​P(Mintersect∩​S)

​(B)**** ​P(R)

0.30.70.90.10.70.3

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Part 1

​(A)****

​P(Mintersect∩​S)equals=enter your response here  

​(Type an integer or a​ decimal.)

Solution

Let's solve the problem by analyzing the given probability tree and calculating the indicated probabilities.

Given Information:

The branches of the probability tree have the following values:

  • P(M)=0.3P(M) = 0.3
  • P(not M)=0.7P(\text{not } M) = 0.7
  • Conditional probabilities given MM:
    • P(SM)=0.9P(S \mid M) = 0.9
    • P(not SM)=0.1P(\text{not } S \mid M) = 0.1
  • Conditional probabilities given not M\text{not } M:
    • P(Snot M)=0.7P(S \mid \text{not } M) = 0.7
    • P(not Snot M)=0.3P(\text{not } S \mid \text{not } M) = 0.3

Part A: P(MS)P(M \cap S)

To find P(MS)P(M \cap S), we multiply the probability of MM by the conditional probability of SS given MM:

P(MS)=P(M)×P(SM)P(M \cap S) = P(M) \times P(S \mid M)

Substituting the values:

P(MS)=0.3×0.9=0.27P(M \cap S) = 0.3 \times 0.9 = 0.27

So,

P(MS)=0.27P(M \cap S) = 0.27

Part B: P(R)P(R)

In the problem statement, RR is not directly referenced, but if we assume RR represents the second major branch (i.e., not M\text{not } M):

P(R)=P(not M)=0.7P(R) = P(\text{not } M) = 0.7

Summary of Results:

  • (A) P(MS)=0.27P(M \cap S) = 0.27
  • (B) P(R)=0.7P(R) = 0.7 (assuming R=not MR = \text{not } M)

If RR refers to a different event or if you have further details about it, please clarify.

Would you like more details, or do you have any questions?

Here are some related questions you might consider:

  1. How would you calculate P(not MS)P(\text{not } M \cap S)?
  2. What is the overall probability P(S)P(S) based on the tree?
  3. If P(M)P(M) changes, how does that affect P(MS)P(M \cap S)?
  4. Can you describe the concept of mutually exclusive events in this context?
  5. What is the probability of SS given that not M\text{not } M occurs?
  6. How can you verify the accuracy of your probability tree calculations?
  7. What would be P(not MS)P(\text{not } M \cup S)?
  8. How do dependent events affect the calculations in a probability tree?

Tip: Always ensure to double-check conditional probabilities and their respective paths when working with probability trees to avoid errors.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Probability Theory
Conditional Probability
Probability Trees

Formulas

Multiplication Rule of Probability

Theorems

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Suitable Grade Level

High School