Math Problem Statement

Suppose that the random variable Y has a gamma distribution with parameters α=2 and an unknown β. Use the method of moment-generating functions to prove a general result implying that 2Y/β has a χ² distribution with 4 degrees of freedom (df). Using 2Y/β as a pivotal quantity, derive a 90% confidence interval for β.

Solution

To approach this problem, we need to use the moment-generating function (MGF) and pivotal quantity methods to derive the result and construct a confidence interval. Here's the step-by-step process:

Step 1: Moment-Generating Function of Gamma Distribution

The moment-generating function (MGF) MY(t)M_Y(t) of a gamma-distributed random variable YGamma(α,β)Y \sim \text{Gamma}(\alpha, \beta) with shape parameter α\alpha and rate parameter β\beta is given by:

MY(t)=(11βt)αfor t<1βM_Y(t) = \left( \frac{1}{1 - \beta t} \right)^\alpha \quad \text{for} \ t < \frac{1}{\beta}

In our case, α=2\alpha = 2, so the MGF becomes:

MY(t)=(11βt)2M_Y(t) = \left( \frac{1}{1 - \beta t} \right)^2

Step 2: Apply the Moment-Generating Function to 2Y/β2Y/\beta

We are tasked with proving that 2Yβ\frac{2Y}{\beta} follows a χ2\chi^2 distribution with 4 degrees of freedom. Let's manipulate the MGF to demonstrate this result.

Consider the random variable Z=2YβZ = \frac{2Y}{\beta}. The MGF of ZZ is the MGF of YY evaluated at t/βt/\beta:

MZ(t)=MY(tβ)=(11βtβ)2=(11t)2M_Z(t) = M_Y\left( \frac{t}{\beta} \right) = \left( \frac{1}{1 - \beta \cdot \frac{t}{\beta}} \right)^2 = \left( \frac{1}{1 - t} \right)^2

This is the MGF of a chi-squared distribution with 4 degrees of freedom (since the MGF of χ42\chi^2_4 is (12t)2\left( 1 - 2t \right)^{-2}). Therefore:

2Yβχ42\frac{2Y}{\beta} \sim \chi^2_4

Step 3: Deriving the Confidence Interval for β\beta

Now that we know 2Yβχ42\frac{2Y}{\beta} \sim \chi^2_4, we can use this fact to derive a 90% confidence interval for β\beta. The pivotal quantity Q=2YβQ = \frac{2Y}{\beta} follows a chi-squared distribution with 4 degrees of freedom. Let χ4,α/22\chi^2_{4, \alpha/2} and χ4,1α/22\chi^2_{4, 1-\alpha/2} denote the critical values of the chi-squared distribution with 4 degrees of freedom at the 5th and 95th percentiles, respectively.

A 90% confidence interval for 2Yβ\frac{2Y}{\beta} is:

χ4,0.0522Yβχ4,0.952\chi^2_{4, 0.05} \leq \frac{2Y}{\beta} \leq \chi^2_{4, 0.95}

Solving for β\beta, we have:

2Yχ4,0.952β2Yχ4,0.052\frac{2Y}{\chi^2_{4, 0.95}} \leq \beta \leq \frac{2Y}{\chi^2_{4, 0.05}}

Thus, the 90% confidence interval for β\beta is:

(2Yχ4,0.952,2Yχ4,0.052)\left( \frac{2Y}{\chi^2_{4, 0.95}}, \frac{2Y}{\chi^2_{4, 0.05}} \right)

Conclusion

  • The random variable 2Yβ\frac{2Y}{\beta} follows a chi-squared distribution with 4 degrees of freedom.
  • A 90% confidence interval for β\beta is (2Yχ4,0.952,2Yχ4,0.052)\left( \frac{2Y}{\chi^2_{4, 0.95}}, \frac{2Y}{\chi^2_{4, 0.05}} \right).

Let me know if you would like further clarifications or additional details on any steps!


Questions to expand:

  1. How is the moment-generating function derived for different distributions?
  2. Can you explain how pivotal quantities help in constructing confidence intervals?
  3. What are the properties of the gamma distribution?
  4. How can we generalize this method for any degrees of freedom?
  5. How does this approach change for other confidence levels (e.g., 95%)?

Tip:

Remember that MGFs can uniquely determine the distribution of a random variable, making them a powerful tool for finding distributions of transformed variables!

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Gamma Distribution
Moment-Generating Function
Chi-Squared Distribution
Pivotal Quantity
Confidence Interval

Formulas

MGF of Gamma Distribution: M_Y(t) = (1 / (1 - βt))^α for t < 1/β
MGF of Y when α = 2: M_Y(t) = (1 / (1 - βt))^2
MGF of Z = 2Y/β: M_Z(t) = (1 / (1 - t))^2
Chi-Squared Confidence Interval: χ²_{4, 0.05} ≤ 2Y/β ≤ χ²_{4, 0.95}

Theorems

Moment-Generating Function Theorem
Chi-Squared Distribution Theorem

Suitable Grade Level

Undergraduate