Math Problem Statement

Assume that there is a 8​% rate of disk drive failure in a year. a. If all your computer data is stored on a hard disk drive with a copy stored on a second hard disk​ drive, what is the probability that during a​ year, you can avoid catastrophe with at least one working​ drive? b. If copies of all your computer data are stored on four independent hard disk​ drives, what is the probability that during a​ year, you can avoid catastrophe with at least one working​ drive? Question content area bottom Part 1 a. With two hard disk​ drives, the probability that catastrophe can be avoided is    0.9936. ​(Round to four decimal places as​ needed.) Part 2 b. With four hard disk​ drives, the probability that catastrophe can be avoided is    enter your response here. ​(Round to six decimal places as​ needed.)

Solution

Let's solve both parts of the problem step-by-step.

Part (a): Two Hard Disk Drives

  1. Given Information:

    • Probability of failure for one hard disk drive in a year = 8% = 0.08.
    • Probability of success (working) for one hard disk drive = 1 - 0.08 = 0.92.
  2. Calculating the Probability of Avoiding Catastrophe:

    • For catastrophe to occur, both drives must fail.

    • Probability that both drives fail = 0.08×0.08=0.00640.08 \times 0.08 = 0.0064.

    • Probability that at least one drive works (avoiding catastrophe) = 10.0064=0.99361 - 0.0064 = 0.9936.

The answer for part (a) is: Probability=0.9936\text{Probability} = 0.9936

Part (b): Four Hard Disk Drives

  1. Calculating the Probability of Avoiding Catastrophe:

    • Probability of all four drives failing = (0.08)4(0.08)^4.

    Let's compute this:

(0.08)4=0.00004096(0.08)^4 = 0.00004096

  1. Probability of at Least One Drive Working:
    • Probability of at least one drive working = 1(0.08)4=10.000040961 - (0.08)^4 = 1 - 0.00004096.

10.00004096=0.999959041 - 0.00004096 = 0.99995904

Rounding to six decimal places:

Probability=0.999959\text{Probability} = 0.999959

So, the answer for part (b) is: Probability=0.999959\text{Probability} = 0.999959

Would you like more details, or do you have any other questions? Here are some related questions you might find interesting:

  1. What would be the probability of avoiding catastrophe with three independent hard drives?
  2. How does the probability change if the failure rate increases to 10% per year?
  3. What is the probability that at least two of the four hard drives fail?
  4. How many hard drives would be needed to achieve a 99.999% reliability rate?
  5. How would correlated failures between drives impact the overall probability?

Tip: When dealing with reliability problems, redundancy (using multiple independent backups) significantly increases the probability of avoiding data loss.

Ask a new question for Free

By Image

Drop file here or Click Here to upload

Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Probability Theory
Independent Events

Formulas

Probability of an event = 1 - (Probability of the complementary event)
P(avoiding catastrophe) = 1 - P(all drives failing)
P(all drives failing) = (failure rate)^n where n is the number of drives

Theorems

Complement Rule
Multiplication Rule for Independent Events

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 11-12 or College-level Probability