Math Problem Statement
Assume that there is a 8% rate of disk drive failure in a year. a. If all your computer data is stored on a hard disk drive with a copy stored on a second hard disk drive, what is the probability that during a year, you can avoid catastrophe with at least one working drive? b. If copies of all your computer data are stored on four independent hard disk drives, what is the probability that during a year, you can avoid catastrophe with at least one working drive? Question content area bottom Part 1 a. With two hard disk drives, the probability that catastrophe can be avoided is 0.9936. (Round to four decimal places as needed.) Part 2 b. With four hard disk drives, the probability that catastrophe can be avoided is enter your response here. (Round to six decimal places as needed.)
Solution
Let's solve both parts of the problem step-by-step.
Part (a): Two Hard Disk Drives
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Given Information:
- Probability of failure for one hard disk drive in a year = 8% = 0.08.
- Probability of success (working) for one hard disk drive = 1 - 0.08 = 0.92.
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Calculating the Probability of Avoiding Catastrophe:
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For catastrophe to occur, both drives must fail.
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Probability that both drives fail = .
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Probability that at least one drive works (avoiding catastrophe) = .
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The answer for part (a) is:
Part (b): Four Hard Disk Drives
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Calculating the Probability of Avoiding Catastrophe:
- Probability of all four drives failing = .
Let's compute this:
- Probability of at Least One Drive Working:
- Probability of at least one drive working = .
Rounding to six decimal places:
So, the answer for part (b) is:
Would you like more details, or do you have any other questions? Here are some related questions you might find interesting:
- What would be the probability of avoiding catastrophe with three independent hard drives?
- How does the probability change if the failure rate increases to 10% per year?
- What is the probability that at least two of the four hard drives fail?
- How many hard drives would be needed to achieve a 99.999% reliability rate?
- How would correlated failures between drives impact the overall probability?
Tip: When dealing with reliability problems, redundancy (using multiple independent backups) significantly increases the probability of avoiding data loss.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Probability Theory
Independent Events
Formulas
Probability of an event = 1 - (Probability of the complementary event)
P(avoiding catastrophe) = 1 - P(all drives failing)
P(all drives failing) = (failure rate)^n where n is the number of drives
Theorems
Complement Rule
Multiplication Rule for Independent Events
Suitable Grade Level
Grades 11-12 or College-level Probability
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