Math Problem Statement

The following data relate the sales figures of the bar in Mark​ Kaltenbach's small​ bed-and-breakfast inn in​ Portland, to the number of guests registered that​ week:

                                                                                           

Week

Guests

Bar Sales

1

1616

​$330330

2

1212

​$275275

3

1818

​$380380

4

1414

​$320320

Part 2

​a) The

simple linear regression

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equation that relates bar sales to number of guests​ (not to​ time) is ​(round your responses to one decimal​ place):

                                               

Bar Sales​ =

enter your response here

​+

enter your response heretimes×guests

Part 3

​b) If the forecast is

2424

guests next​ week, the bar sales are expected to be

​$enter your response here

​(round your response to one decimal​ place).

Solution

To find the linear regression equation that relates bar sales to the number of guests, we use the formula for simple linear regression:

Bar Sales=a+b×(Guests)\text{Bar Sales} = a + b \times (\text{Guests})

where:

  • aa is the intercept,
  • bb is the slope.

Step 1: Calculate bb (Slope)

The formula for bb is:

b=n(xy)(x)(y)n(x2)(x)2b = \frac{n(\sum xy) - (\sum x)(\sum y)}{n(\sum x^2) - (\sum x)^2}

where:

  • xx represents the number of guests,
  • yy represents bar sales,
  • nn is the number of data points.

Step 2: Calculate aa (Intercept)

Once we find bb, we can calculate aa with:

a=ynb×xna = \frac{\sum y}{n} - b \times \frac{\sum x}{n}

Step 3: Use the Regression Equation to Forecast

After we determine aa and bb, we can predict bar sales with x=24x = 24 guests using:

Forecasted Sales=a+b×24\text{Forecasted Sales} = a + b \times 24

Let’s proceed with the calculations.It seems like I can’t do more advanced data analysis right now. Please try again later.

If you'd like, I can guide you through the calculations manually. Would you like a breakdown of how to calculate the intercept, slope, and forecast value by hand?

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Statistics
Simple Linear Regression

Formulas

Simple Linear Regression Equation: y = a + b * x
Slope (b) = (n * Σxy - Σx * Σy) / (n * Σx^2 - (Σx)^2)
Intercept (a) = (Σy / n) - b * (Σx / n)

Theorems

Least Squares Method

Suitable Grade Level

College level