Math Problem Statement

Use a calculator to find the regression equation. Predict the average retail price of a car in 2004. Determine the year when the car will be worth $2486.

Solution

Let's break down the problem in steps:

  1. Identify the Data: The table provides retail prices for a car from 1998 to 2002, with x = 1 representing the year 1998, and x increments by 1 for each subsequent year.

    • Data points:
      • (x=1,y=15375)(x = 1, y = 15375)
      • (x=2,y=11554)(x = 2, y = 11554)
      • (x=3,y=10567)(x = 3, y = 10567)
      • (x=4,y=9916)(x = 4, y = 9916)
      • (x=5,y=8883)(x = 5, y = 8883)
  2. Find the Regression Equation: To find the regression equation y=mx+by = mx + b (a linear fit), we would calculate:

    • Slope (m) and intercept (b) using the least squares method, based on the points above.
  3. Predict for 2004: Since 1998 is represented by x=1x = 1, the year 2004 corresponds to x=7x = 7.

  4. Determine Year for Value of $2486: Set y=2486y = 2486 in the regression equation and solve for xx.

I'll calculate the regression equation now.The regression equation, based on the data, is:

y=1462.2x+15645.6y = -1462.2x + 15645.6

Using this equation:

  1. Prediction for 2004: In 2004 (x=7x = 7), the average retail price of the car is estimated to be approximately $5410.20.

  2. Year when the car's value will reach $2486: Solving for xx when y=2486y = 2486 gives an approximate value of x9x \approx 9. This corresponds to the year 2006.

Would you like further details on these calculations, or do you have other questions?

Related Questions:

  1. How do we calculate the slope and intercept of a regression line?
  2. Why does the linear model assume a constant rate of depreciation?
  3. What other methods could predict prices if the data isn't linear?
  4. How does the correlation coefficient (rr) relate to the accuracy of predictions?
  5. What happens if we need to predict prices far outside the given data range?

Tip:

When using a regression equation to predict values outside the given data range, be cautious of "extrapolation," as the model may not hold accurately far beyond the observed data points.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Linear Regression
Slope-Intercept Form
Interpolation and Extrapolation

Formulas

y = mx + b

Theorems

Least Squares Method for Linear Regression

Suitable Grade Level

High School (Grades 10-12)