Math Problem Statement
Using a 3-month moving average, the forecast value for October made at the end of September in the following time series would be:
July
12
Aug
5
Sept
7
Oct
11
Question 4 options:
1)
7.67
2)
8
3)
9
4)
6.89
5)
7.25
Solution
To calculate a 3-month moving average forecast for October, you need to average the values from the previous three months (July, August, and September).
Here are the values for those months:
- July: 12
- August: 5
- September: 7
The 3-month moving average forecast for October is calculated as:
So, the correct answer is:
2) 8
Would you like more details or have any other questions? Here are 5 related questions you might find interesting:
- How does the length of the moving average window affect the forecast?
- What are the limitations of using a simple moving average for forecasting?
- How would you compute a weighted moving average, and why might it be preferred?
- How would you adjust the moving average calculation if the data has seasonality?
- What is the difference between a simple moving average and an exponential moving average?
Tip: Moving averages smooth out short-term fluctuations and highlight longer-term trends or cycles. Choosing the right window length is crucial for balancing responsiveness with smoothness.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Time Series Analysis
Moving Average
Formulas
Moving Average Formula
Theorems
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Suitable Grade Level
Advanced High School
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