Math Problem Statement

A random sample of 38 known exoplanets is selected, and 17 are found to exist in multiple-star systems.

Compute a 95% confidence interval for the true proportion of multi-star exoplanets among all detected exoplanets. Give your final answer with at least 3 dp.

Lower bound of the 95% CI (SMALLER NUMBER HERE): Answer 1 Question 1 Upper bound of the 95% CI (BIGGER NUMBER HERE): Answer 2 Question 1

Solution

To calculate the 95% confidence interval (CI) for the true proportion of exoplanets that exist in multiple-star systems, we will use the following formula for a confidence interval for a population proportion:

CI=p^±Zα/2×p^(1p^)n\text{CI} = \hat{p} \pm Z_{\alpha/2} \times \sqrt{\frac{\hat{p}(1-\hat{p})}{n}}

Where:

  • p^\hat{p} is the sample proportion.
  • Zα/2Z_{\alpha/2} is the z-score corresponding to the desired confidence level.
  • nn is the sample size.

Step 1: Calculate the sample proportion p^\hat{p}

p^=1738\hat{p} = \frac{17}{38}

Step 2: Determine the z-score for a 95% confidence level

For a 95% confidence interval, the z-score (Zα/2Z_{\alpha/2}) is 1.96.

Step 3: Plug the values into the formula and calculate the confidence interval

Let's compute the values.The 95% confidence interval for the true proportion of multi-star exoplanets among all detected exoplanets is:

  • Lower bound (smaller number): 0.289
  • Upper bound (bigger number): 0.605

Would you like further details or have any questions?

Here are 5 related questions to consider:

  1. What factors could influence the proportion of exoplanets found in multi-star systems?
  2. How would the confidence interval change with a larger sample size?
  3. What is the interpretation of this confidence interval in the context of exoplanet research?
  4. How does the z-score affect the width of the confidence interval?
  5. What are some other statistical methods used in analyzing exoplanet data?

Tip: Increasing the sample size reduces the margin of error, leading to a narrower confidence interval.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Statistics
Confidence Intervals
Proportion Estimation

Formulas

Confidence interval for population proportion

Theorems

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Suitable Grade Level

Advanced