Math Problem Statement

A binomial experiment with probability of success p=0.25 and n=4 trials is conducted. What is the probability that the experiment results in exactly 2 successes?

Solution

To solve this problem, we use the binomial probability formula, given by:

P(X=k)=(nk)pk(1p)nkP(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1 - p)^{n - k}

where:

  • n=4n = 4: the number of trials,
  • p=0.25p = 0.25: the probability of success on each trial,
  • k=2k = 2: the number of successes we're interested in.

Step-by-Step Solution:

  1. Calculate (nk)\binom{n}{k}: (nk)=n!k!(nk)!=4!2!(42)!=4×32×1=6\binom{n}{k} = \frac{n!}{k!(n - k)!} = \frac{4!}{2!(4 - 2)!} = \frac{4 \times 3}{2 \times 1} = 6

  2. Apply the binomial probability formula: Substitute the values into the formula: P(X=2)=6×(0.25)2×(10.25)42P(X = 2) = 6 \times (0.25)^2 \times (1 - 0.25)^{4 - 2}

  3. Compute the probability:

    • (0.25)2=0.0625(0.25)^2 = 0.0625
    • (10.25)=0.75(1 - 0.25) = 0.75
    • 0.752=0.56250.75^{2} = 0.5625

    So, P(X=2)=6×0.0625×0.5625=0.2109375P(X = 2) = 6 \times 0.0625 \times 0.5625 = 0.2109375

  4. Round the answer to three decimal places: P(X=2)0.211P(X = 2) \approx 0.211

Answer:

The probability that the experiment results in exactly 2 successes is 0.211.

Would you like more details or have any questions?


Related Questions:

  1. How would the probability change if the number of trials nn was increased to 6 with the same probability of success?
  2. What is the probability of getting exactly 1 success in this scenario?
  3. How does the probability change if the success probability pp is increased to 0.5?
  4. What is the probability of having 0 successes with n=4n = 4 and p=0.25p = 0.25?
  5. How can we calculate the cumulative probability of getting at most 2 successes?

Tip:

When solving binomial problems, double-check the values of nn, kk, and pp to ensure they’re substituted correctly, as small errors in setup can lead to incorrect answers.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Binomial Probability
Combinatorics
Probability Theory

Formulas

P(X = k) = C(n, k) * p^k * (1 - p)^(n - k)
C(n, k) = n! / (k!(n - k)!)

Theorems

Binomial Theorem

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 10-12