Math Problem Statement

Assume that a procedure yields a binomial distribution with a trial repeated n = 13 times. Use either the binomial probability formula (or technology) to find the probability of k = 1 successes given the probability p = 0.22 of success on a single trial. Report answer accurate to 4 decimal places. P(X = k) =

Solution

This problem is asking us to calculate the probability of exactly k=1k = 1 successes in a binomial distribution with n=13n = 13 trials and a probability of success p=0.22p = 0.22 on each trial. We can use the binomial probability formula:

P(X=k)=(nk)pk(1p)nkP(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1 - p)^{n - k}

Where:

  • n=13n = 13 (number of trials),
  • k=1k = 1 (number of successes),
  • p=0.22p = 0.22 (probability of success on a single trial),
  • (nk)\binom{n}{k} is the binomial coefficient, which represents the number of ways to choose kk successes out of nn trials, and is computed as n!k!(nk)!\frac{n!}{k!(n-k)!}.

Let's calculate the value step by step:

1. Binomial coefficient:

(131)=13!1!(131)!=13\binom{13}{1} = \frac{13!}{1!(13-1)!} = 13

2. Compute pkp^k and (1p)nk(1 - p)^{n-k}:

p1=0.22p^1 = 0.22 (1p)12=(0.78)12(1 - p)^{12} = (0.78)^{12}

3. Putting it all together:

P(X=1)=13×0.22×(0.78)12P(X = 1) = 13 \times 0.22 \times (0.78)^{12}

I will now calculate this probability.

The probability of getting exactly k=1k = 1 success in 13 trials, with a probability of success on a single trial of p=0.22p = 0.22, is approximately:

P(X=1)=0.1450P(X = 1) = 0.1450

Would you like any further details or have any questions about the solution?

Here are 5 related questions to explore:

  1. How does the probability change if the number of trials nn increases?
  2. What is the probability of getting exactly 0 successes for the same scenario?
  3. How can we calculate the cumulative probability of getting at most 2 successes?
  4. What is the mean and variance of this binomial distribution?
  5. How would the result change if the probability of success pp were higher?

Tip: The binomial coefficient (nk)\binom{n}{k} represents the number of different ways kk successes can occur out of nn trials, and it scales the probability calculation based on these combinations.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Binomial Distribution
Probability

Formulas

P(X = k) = (n choose k) * p^k * (1 - p)^(n - k)
n choose k = n! / (k!(n - k)!)

Theorems

Binomial Theorem

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 9-12