Math Problem Statement

solve question d using simple statistics and probability formula

Solve question d using simple statistics and probability formula

Solution

Solution to Question d:

The problem involves a binomial probability distribution since it deals with a fixed number of trials, two possible outcomes (effective or not effective), and a constant probability of success.

Step 1: Identify the variables

  • n=10n = 10: Number of patients
  • p=0.80p = 0.80: Probability that the medication is effective for a single patient
  • x=7x = 7: Number of patients for whom the medication is effective
  • q=1p=0.20q = 1 - p = 0.20: Probability that the medication is not effective

The formula for the binomial probability is:

P(X=x)=(nx)pxqnxP(X = x) = \binom{n}{x} p^x q^{n-x}

Step 2: Compute the binomial coefficient

The binomial coefficient (nx)\binom{n}{x} is given by:

(nx)=n!x!(nx)!\binom{n}{x} = \frac{n!}{x! (n-x)!}

(107)=10!7!(107)!=10×9×83×2×1=120\binom{10}{7} = \frac{10!}{7! (10-7)!} = \frac{10 \times 9 \times 8}{3 \times 2 \times 1} = 120

Step 3: Plug values into the formula

Now substitute n=10n = 10, x=7x = 7, p=0.80p = 0.80, and q=0.20q = 0.20 into the formula:

P(X=7)=(107)(0.80)7(0.20)3P(X = 7) = \binom{10}{7} (0.80)^7 (0.20)^3

  1. Compute (0.80)7(0.80)^7: (0.80)7=0.2097152(0.80)^7 = 0.2097152

  2. Compute (0.20)3(0.20)^3: (0.20)3=0.008(0.20)^3 = 0.008

  3. Multiply the probabilities: 0.2097152×0.008=0.00167772160.2097152 \times 0.008 = 0.0016777216

  4. Multiply by the binomial coefficient: P(X=7)=120×0.0016777216=0.20133P(X = 7) = 120 \times 0.0016777216 = 0.20133

Final Answer:

The probability that the medication is effective in exactly 7 out of 10 patients is approximately:

P(X=7)0.201P(X = 7) \approx 0.201


Would you like further clarification or help with the other parts? 😊


Related Questions:

  1. How is the binomial distribution applied to real-world problems?
  2. What would be the probability if the medication were effective for 8 patients instead of 7?
  3. How can cumulative probabilities for X7X \geq 7 be calculated?
  4. Can this problem be solved using normal approximation? If so, how?
  5. What are the properties of a binomial random variable?

Tip: Always double-check your calculations to avoid rounding errors, especially with probabilities!

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Probability
Binomial Distribution

Formulas

Binomial Probability Formula: P(X = x) = (n choose x) * p^x * (1-p)^(n-x)
Binomial Coefficient Formula: n choose x = n! / (x!(n-x)!)

Theorems

Binomial Theorem

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 10-12