Math Problem Statement

A tablet compression machine has a defect rate of 12%. What is the probability that if 10 tablets are produced, 8 will be defective?

Solution

To solve this problem, we will use the binomial probability formula since we are dealing with a fixed number of trials (in this case, 10 tablets), and each trial can either result in a defective or non-defective tablet.

The binomial probability formula is:

P(X=k)=(nk)pk(1p)nkP(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1 - p)^{n - k}

Where:

  • P(X=k)P(X = k) is the probability of exactly kk successes (in this case, defective tablets).
  • (nk)\binom{n}{k} is the binomial coefficient (the number of ways to choose kk successes from nn trials).
  • nn is the total number of trials (in this case, 10 tablets).
  • kk is the number of successes (in this case, 8 defective tablets).
  • pp is the probability of success on a single trial (in this case, 0.12, the defect rate).
  • 1p1 - p is the probability of failure on a single trial (in this case, 0.88, the non-defective rate).

Let's plug in the values:

  • n=10n = 10
  • k=8k = 8
  • p=0.12p = 0.12

Now calculate the probability.The probability that exactly 8 out of 10 tablets produced will be defective, given a defect rate of 12%, is approximately 1.50×1061.50 \times 10^{-6}, or 0.0000015.

Would you like more details on the calculation? Here are some related questions:

  1. What is the probability that 0 tablets are defective?
  2. What is the probability that at least 2 tablets are defective?
  3. What is the expected number of defective tablets in a batch of 10?
  4. How does the defect rate change if the probability of defect increases to 20%?
  5. What is the cumulative probability of producing 7 or fewer defective tablets?

Tip: For small probabilities like this, increasing the sample size might yield more meaningful insights.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Probability
Binomial Distribution

Formulas

P(X = k) = (n choose k) * p^k * (1 - p)^(n - k)

Theorems

Binomial Theorem

Suitable Grade Level

College Level or Advanced High School (Grades 11-12)