Math Problem Statement
In this situation, the binomial probability distribution can be used to model the probability of successfully making a basketball shot. If the probability of making a shot is 60%, then the probability of making 5 shots out of 12 attempts would be calculated as follows: 1-0.60 = 0.40 of missing the free throw n=12 , x =7, p= 0.60 , q= 0.40
Solution
To calculate the probability of making exactly 7 shots out of 12 attempts, we use the binomial probability formula:
Where:
- (number of trials or attempts),
- (number of successful shots),
- (probability of success, making a shot),
- (probability of failure, missing a shot, ).
Now, let's plug these values into the formula.
Step 1: Calculate the binomial coefficient
The binomial coefficient is calculated as:
Step 2: Apply the binomial probability formula
The binomial probability formula becomes:
I will calculate the exact result for you.The probability of making exactly 7 shots out of 12 attempts, given a 60% success rate, is approximately or 22.7%.
Would you like further details or explanations on any part of this? Here are some related questions for deeper exploration:
- What if the success rate was 70% instead of 60%?
- How would the probability change for making exactly 5 shots instead of 7?
- How do you calculate the cumulative probability for making at least 7 shots?
- What is the expected number of successful shots for 12 attempts with a 60% success rate?
- Can we use a normal approximation to the binomial distribution for this scenario?
Tip: When the number of trials is large, the binomial distribution can often be approximated by a normal distribution, making calculations easier.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Probability
Binomial Distribution
Combinatorics
Formulas
Binomial probability formula: P(X = x) = (n choose x) * p^x * q^(n-x)
Binomial coefficient: (n choose x) = n! / (x!(n-x)!)
Theorems
Binomial Theorem
Suitable Grade Level
Grades 10-12
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