Math Problem Statement

In this situation, the binomial probability distribution can be used to model the probability of successfully making a basketball shot. If the probability of making a shot is 60%, then the probability of making 5 shots out of 12 attempts would be calculated as follows: 1-0.60 = 0.40 of missing the free throw n=12 , x =7, p= 0.60 , q= 0.40

Solution

To calculate the probability of making exactly 7 shots out of 12 attempts, we use the binomial probability formula:

P(X=x)=(nx)pxqnxP(X = x) = \binom{n}{x} p^x q^{n-x}

Where:

  • n=12n = 12 (number of trials or attempts),
  • x=7x = 7 (number of successful shots),
  • p=0.60p = 0.60 (probability of success, making a shot),
  • q=0.40q = 0.40 (probability of failure, missing a shot, q=1pq = 1 - p).

Now, let's plug these values into the formula.

Step 1: Calculate the binomial coefficient

The binomial coefficient (nx)\binom{n}{x} is calculated as:

(nx)=n!x!(nx)!=12!7!(127)!=12!7!5!\binom{n}{x} = \frac{n!}{x!(n-x)!} = \frac{12!}{7!(12-7)!} = \frac{12!}{7!5!}

Step 2: Apply the binomial probability formula

The binomial probability formula becomes:

P(X=7)=(127)(0.60)7(0.40)5P(X = 7) = \binom{12}{7} (0.60)^7 (0.40)^5

I will calculate the exact result for you.The probability of making exactly 7 shots out of 12 attempts, given a 60% success rate, is approximately 0.2270.227 or 22.7%.

Would you like further details or explanations on any part of this? Here are some related questions for deeper exploration:

  1. What if the success rate was 70% instead of 60%?
  2. How would the probability change for making exactly 5 shots instead of 7?
  3. How do you calculate the cumulative probability for making at least 7 shots?
  4. What is the expected number of successful shots for 12 attempts with a 60% success rate?
  5. Can we use a normal approximation to the binomial distribution for this scenario?

Tip: When the number of trials is large, the binomial distribution can often be approximated by a normal distribution, making calculations easier.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Probability
Binomial Distribution
Combinatorics

Formulas

Binomial probability formula: P(X = x) = (n choose x) * p^x * q^(n-x)
Binomial coefficient: (n choose x) = n! / (x!(n-x)!)

Theorems

Binomial Theorem

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 10-12