Math Problem Statement

A survey showed that 31​% of human resource professionals are at companies that rejected job candidates because of information found on their social media. If 24 human resource professionals are randomly​ selected, would 13 be a significantly high number to be at companies that rejected job candidates because of information found on their social​ media? Why or why​ not? Question content area bottom Part 1 Select the correct choice below and fill in the answer box within your choice. ​(Round to four decimal places as​ needed.) A. ​Yes, 13 would be significantly high because the probability of 13 or more is    enter your response here​, which is low. B. ​No, 13 would not be significantly high because the probability of 13 or more is    enter your response here​, which is low. C. ​No, 13 would not be significantly high because the probability of 13 or more is    enter your response here​, which is not low. D. ​Yes, 13 would be significantly high because the probability of 13 or more is    enter your response here​, which is not low.

Solution

To solve this, we need to determine if the probability of selecting 13 or more human resource professionals from a sample of 24 who are at companies that reject candidates based on their social media is significantly high. This can be done using a binomial distribution.

Given Information:

  • The probability that a human resource professional is at a company that rejects job candidates because of their social media is p=0.31p = 0.31.
  • The sample size is n=24n = 24.
  • We are interested in the probability of 13 or more human resource professionals out of 24 (i.e., X=13X = 13).

We use the binomial distribution XB(n,p)X \sim B(n, p), where nn is the number of trials (24) and pp is the probability of success (0.31).

For a binomial distribution, the mean μ\mu and standard deviation σ\sigma are calculated as:

  • Mean: μ=np=240.31=7.44\mu = n \cdot p = 24 \cdot 0.31 = 7.44
  • Standard deviation: σ=np(1p)=240.310.692.73\sigma = \sqrt{n \cdot p \cdot (1 - p)} = \sqrt{24 \cdot 0.31 \cdot 0.69} \approx 2.73

Now, we calculate the z-score for X=13X = 13 using the normal approximation to the binomial distribution (since nn is large enough): z=Xμσ=137.442.735.562.732.04z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma} = \frac{13 - 7.44}{2.73} \approx \frac{5.56}{2.73} \approx 2.04

Next, we look up the probability corresponding to this z-score. A z-score of 2.04 corresponds to a cumulative probability of about 0.9793. This means the probability of getting 13 or more successes (since it's a right tail) is: P(X13)=1P(Z2.04)=10.9793=0.0207P(X \geq 13) = 1 - P(Z \leq 2.04) = 1 - 0.9793 = 0.0207

Interpretation:

Since the probability of observing 13 or more professionals at companies rejecting candidates due to social media is only 0.0207, which is a very low probability (typically, if the probability is less than 0.05, we consider it to be significantly high), we conclude that 13 is significantly high.

Answer:

A. Yes, 13 would be significantly high because the probability of 13 or more is 0.0207, which is low.


Would you like more details or have any questions about this solution?

Here are some follow-up questions:

  1. How would the result change if the probability pp were different, say 0.4?
  2. What would happen if the sample size were larger, say 50?
  3. How do you calculate the normal approximation for a binomial distribution?
  4. How would you apply this method to a non-binary outcome (e.g., survey responses with more than two categories)?
  5. What are the assumptions for using the normal approximation to a binomial distribution?

Tip: The normal approximation works well when nn is large enough and both npn \cdot p and n(1p)n \cdot (1 - p) are greater than 5.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Binomial Distribution
Normal Approximation
Probability

Formulas

Binomial Distribution: X ~ B(n, p)
Mean: μ = n * p
Standard Deviation: σ = √(n * p * (1 - p))
Z-score: z = (X - μ) / σ
Normal Approximation to Binomial Distribution

Theorems

Central Limit Theorem
Normal Approximation to the Binomial Distribution

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 10-12