Math Problem Statement

Using the binomial​ distribution, find and interpret the probability that more than 15 of those surveyed feel the state of morals is poor.

Solution

To solve this problem using the binomial distribution, we need to understand that the binomial distribution applies to situations with two possible outcomes—success or failure. In this case, "success" would be defined as a respondent feeling that the state of morals is poor, and "failure" would be the opposite.

Step 1: Define the parameters for the binomial distribution.

The binomial distribution is given by:

P(X=k)=(nk)pk(1p)nkP(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1-p)^{n-k}

Where:

  • nn is the total number of trials (i.e., the number of people surveyed),
  • kk is the number of successes (in this case, the number of people who feel the state of morals is poor),
  • pp is the probability of success (i.e., the probability that any given person feels the state of morals is poor),
  • 1p1 - p is the probability of failure,
  • (nk)\binom{n}{k} is the binomial coefficient.

However, you specifically want to calculate the probability that more than 15 people surveyed feel this way, which would mean P(X>15)P(X > 15).

Step 2: Determine the values of nn and pp.

  • nn: The total number of people surveyed (this is often given in such problems, but we'll need this from you).
  • pp: The probability that a randomly selected person feels the state of morals is poor (this also would need to be provided, or estimated from data).

Step 3: Calculate the probability.

To find P(X>15)P(X > 15), we can use the complement rule:

P(X>15)=1P(X15)P(X > 15) = 1 - P(X \leq 15)

This means you would calculate the cumulative probability for X15X \leq 15 and subtract it from 1 to get the probability that more than 15 people feel this way.

If you provide the values of nn and pp, I can proceed with the exact calculation.

Interpretation

Once the probability is computed, the interpretation would be something like:

"There is a [calculated probability] chance that more than 15 people surveyed believe that the state of morals is poor."


Do you want me to proceed with specific values, or would you like to clarify anything? Here are some related questions to think about:

  1. What is the total number of people surveyed in this scenario?
  2. What is the probability pp that a randomly selected person feels the state of morals is poor?
  3. How would the probability change if the survey size increased to 100 or more?
  4. What is the complement rule, and how does it help with binomial distributions?
  5. Could this problem be solved using a normal approximation to the binomial?

Tip: When calculating probabilities for "more than" or "less than" scenarios in binomial distributions, the complement rule is often a helpful tool.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Binomial Distribution
Probability Theory
Complement Rule

Formulas

P(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1-p)^{n-k}
P(X > 15) = 1 - P(X \leq 15)

Theorems

Binomial Theorem
Complement Rule

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 10-12