Math Problem Statement

Assume that a procedure yields a binomial distribution with a trial repeated n=14 times. Use either the binomial probability formula (or a technology like Excel or StatDisk) to find the probability of k=0 successes given the probability q=0.71 of failure on a single trial.

(Report answer accurate to 4 decimal places.)

Solution

In a binomial distribution, the probability of kk successes in nn trials is given by the formula:

P(X=k)=(nk)pkqnkP(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k q^{n-k}

where:

  • nn is the number of trials,
  • kk is the number of successes,
  • pp is the probability of success on a single trial, and
  • qq is the probability of failure on a single trial (q=1pq = 1 - p).

In this case:

  • n=14n = 14,
  • k=0k = 0,
  • q=0.71q = 0.71.

Since qq is the probability of failure, the probability of success, pp, is:

p=1q=10.71=0.29p = 1 - q = 1 - 0.71 = 0.29

Now, substitute the values into the formula for P(X=0)P(X = 0):

P(X=0)=(140)(0.29)0(0.71)14P(X = 0) = \binom{14}{0} (0.29)^0 (0.71)^{14}

Calculating this:

(140)=1(since (n0)=1 for any n)\binom{14}{0} = 1 \quad \text{(since } \binom{n}{0} = 1 \text{ for any } n\text{)} (0.29)0=1(since any number to the power of 0 is 1)(0.29)^0 = 1 \quad \text{(since any number to the power of 0 is 1)} (0.71)14(0.71)^{14}

So,

P(X=0)=1×1×(0.71)14P(X = 0) = 1 \times 1 \times (0.71)^{14}

Now let's compute (0.71)14(0.71)^{14}.The probability of having 0 successes (all trials failing) is approximately 0.00830.0083 (rounded to four decimal places).

Do you want details or have any questions?

Here are some related questions to consider:

  1. What is the probability of having exactly 1 success in 14 trials?
  2. How would the probability change if the probability of failure, qq, was 0.5 instead of 0.71?
  3. What is the probability of having at least one success in 14 trials?
  4. How does the expected number of successes change if the number of trials nn is doubled?
  5. How would you use Excel or a statistical software to calculate these probabilities?

Tip: For quick probability calculations, using software tools like Excel or a graphing calculator can save time and reduce errors.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Probability
Binomial Distribution

Formulas

P(X = k) = (n choose k) * p^k * q^(n-k)

Theorems

Binomial Probability Theorem

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 10-12