Math Problem Statement

You intend to estimate a population mean with the following sample. 11.8 7.8 -2.5 30.2 5.7 79.5 5.6 41.1 You believe the population is normally distributed. Find the 98% confidence interval. Enter your answer as an open-interval (i.e., parentheses) accurate to two decimal places (because the sample data are reported accurate to one decimal place).

Solution

To calculate the 98% confidence interval for the population mean, we'll use the t-distribution since the sample size is small (n < 30) and the population standard deviation is unknown.

Steps:

  1. Calculate the sample mean (xˉ\bar{x}).
  2. Calculate the sample standard deviation (s).
  3. Find the t-critical value for a 98% confidence level and the degrees of freedom (df = n - 1).
  4. Use the formula for the confidence interval: CI=xˉ±tα/2sn\text{CI} = \bar{x} \pm t_{\alpha/2} \cdot \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}} Where:
    • xˉ\bar{x} = sample mean
    • tα/2t_{\alpha/2} = t-critical value
    • ss = sample standard deviation
    • nn = sample size

Step 1: Sample Mean (xˉ\bar{x})

The sample data are: 11.8,7.8,2.5,30.2,5.7,79.5,5.6,41.111.8, 7.8, -2.5, 30.2, 5.7, 79.5, 5.6, 41.1

xˉ=11.8+7.8+(2.5)+30.2+5.7+79.5+5.6+41.18\bar{x} = \frac{11.8 + 7.8 + (-2.5) + 30.2 + 5.7 + 79.5 + 5.6 + 41.1}{8}

xˉ=178.28=22.275\bar{x} = \frac{178.2}{8} = 22.275

So, the sample mean is approximately 22.2822.28.

Step 2: Sample Standard Deviation (s)

First, compute the squared differences from the mean for each sample value, then average them, and take the square root.

s=(xixˉ)2n1s = \sqrt{\frac{\sum (x_i - \bar{x})^2}{n - 1}}

The squared differences:

(11.822.275)2=108.050625(11.8 - 22.275)^2 = 108.050625 (7.822.275)2=207.515625(7.8 - 22.275)^2 = 207.515625 (2.522.275)2=614.05625(-2.5 - 22.275)^2 = 614.05625 (30.222.275)2=62.540625(30.2 - 22.275)^2 = 62.540625 (5.722.275)2=277.485625(5.7 - 22.275)^2 = 277.485625 (79.522.275)2=3231.45625(79.5 - 22.275)^2 = 3231.45625 (5.622.275)2=285.115625(5.6 - 22.275)^2 = 285.115625 (41.122.275)2=348.55625(41.1 - 22.275)^2 = 348.55625

Sum of squared differences: 108.05+207.52+614.06+62.54+277.49+3231.46+285.12+348.56=5115.80108.05 + 207.52 + 614.06 + 62.54 + 277.49 + 3231.46 + 285.12 + 348.56 = 5115.80

Now, compute the sample variance: s2=5115.807=731.83s^2 = \frac{5115.80}{7} = 731.83

Take the square root to find the sample standard deviation: s=731.8327.04s = \sqrt{731.83} \approx 27.04

Step 3: t-Critical Value

For a 98% confidence interval with n=8n = 8, the degrees of freedom (df) is: df=n1=81=7df = n - 1 = 8 - 1 = 7

From the t-distribution table, for a 98% confidence level and 7 degrees of freedom, the t-critical value (tα/2t_{\alpha/2}) is approximately 2.998.

Step 4: Calculate the Confidence Interval

Now, use the formula: CI=xˉ±tα/2sn\text{CI} = \bar{x} \pm t_{\alpha/2} \cdot \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}} CI=22.28±2.99827.048\text{CI} = 22.28 \pm 2.998 \cdot \frac{27.04}{\sqrt{8}}

Calculate the standard error: SE=27.04827.042.8289.57\text{SE} = \frac{27.04}{\sqrt{8}} \approx \frac{27.04}{2.828} \approx 9.57

Now calculate the margin of error: Margin of error=2.9989.5728.69\text{Margin of error} = 2.998 \cdot 9.57 \approx 28.69

Thus, the confidence interval is: CI=22.28±28.69\text{CI} = 22.28 \pm 28.69

So the confidence interval is: CI=(22.2828.69,22.28+28.69)=(6.41,50.97)\text{CI} = (22.28 - 28.69, 22.28 + 28.69) = (-6.41, 50.97)

Final Answer:

The 98% confidence interval for the population mean is: (6.41,50.97)\boxed{(-6.41, 50.97)}

Let me know if you'd like more details or have any questions!


Here are some related questions you might find interesting:

  1. What is the difference between the t-distribution and the normal distribution?
  2. How do you calculate the margin of error in a confidence interval?
  3. What does it mean when we say a sample is normally distributed?
  4. How does the sample size affect the width of a confidence interval?
  5. How do you interpret the confidence level of 98%?

Tip: A smaller sample size increases the uncertainty in the estimate, which typically results in a wider confidence interval.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Confidence Interval
T-Distribution
Sample Mean
Sample Standard Deviation

Formulas

Confidence Interval Formula: CI = x̄ ± t_{α/2} * (s / √n)
Standard Error Formula: SE = s / √n

Theorems

T-distribution
Central Limit Theorem

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 11-12