Math Problem Statement

A factory produces light bulbs, and the lifetime of these bulbs is normally distributed with a known standard deviation σ=100 hours. A sample of 36 light bulbs has a mean lifetime of 1,200 hours. Construct a 95% confidence interval for the true mean lifetime of the bulbs.

Solution

To construct a 95% confidence interval for the true mean lifetime of the light bulbs, we will use the formula for a confidence interval for a population mean when the population standard deviation (σ) is known:

CI=Xˉ±Zα/2σnCI = \bar{X} \pm Z_{\alpha/2} \cdot \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}

Where:

  • Xˉ=1,200\bar{X} = 1,200 (sample mean)
  • σ=100σ = 100 hours (population standard deviation)
  • n=36n = 36 (sample size)
  • Zα/2=1.96Z_{\alpha/2} = 1.96 (critical value from the standard normal distribution for a 95% confidence interval)

Step 1: Calculate the standard error (SE) of the mean

SE=σn=10036=1006=16.67SE = \frac{σ}{\sqrt{n}} = \frac{100}{\sqrt{36}} = \frac{100}{6} = 16.67

Step 2: Calculate the margin of error (ME)

ME=Zα/2SE=1.9616.67=32.67ME = Z_{\alpha/2} \cdot SE = 1.96 \cdot 16.67 = 32.67

Step 3: Calculate the confidence interval

CI=Xˉ±ME=1,200±32.67CI = \bar{X} \pm ME = 1,200 \pm 32.67 CI=(1,20032.67,1,200+32.67)=(1,167.33,1,232.67)CI = (1,200 - 32.67, 1,200 + 32.67) = (1,167.33, 1,232.67)

Conclusion:

The 95% confidence interval for the true mean lifetime of the light bulbs is (1,167.33 hours, 1,232.67 hours).

Would you like more details or further explanation on any step?


Here are some related questions that expand on this topic:

  1. How does the confidence level affect the width of the confidence interval?
  2. What happens if the sample size increases in this context?
  3. How would the confidence interval change if the population standard deviation was unknown?
  4. Can you explain why a normal distribution is important here?
  5. How would a 99% confidence interval differ from the 95% confidence interval?

Tip: Increasing the sample size decreases the margin of error, resulting in a narrower confidence interval.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Statistics
Normal Distribution
Confidence Interval

Formulas

CI = X̄ ± Z(α/2) * (σ/√n)
SE = σ / √n
Margin of Error = Z(α/2) * SE

Theorems

Central Limit Theorem
Normal Distribution Property

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 10-12