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Topic 6 Homework (Nonadaptive) Question 10 of 11 (1 point)|Question Attempt: 1 of Unlimited

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Question 10 A random sample of 275 bolts from machine A contained 22 defective bolts, while an independently chosen, random sample of 250 bolts from machine B contained 17 defective bolts. Let p1 be the proportion of the population of all bolts from machine A that are defective, and let p2 be the proportion of the population of all bolts from machine B that are defective. Find a 95% confidence interval for −p1p2. Then find the lower limit and upper limit of the 95% confidence interval. Carry your intermediate computations to at least three decimal places. Round your responses to at least three decimal places. (If necessary, consult a list of formulas.)

Lower limit: Upper limit:

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Solution

We are tasked with finding a 95% confidence interval for the difference between two population proportions, (p1p2)(p_1 - p_2), where:

  • p1p_1 is the proportion of defective bolts from machine A.
  • p2p_2 is the proportion of defective bolts from machine B.

Given:

  • Sample size from machine A (n1n_1) = 275 bolts
  • Defective bolts from machine A (x1x_1) = 22
  • Sample size from machine B (n2n_2) = 250 bolts
  • Defective bolts from machine B (x2x_2) = 17

Step 1: Calculate the sample proportions

p^1=x1n1=222750.080\hat{p}_1 = \frac{x_1}{n_1} = \frac{22}{275} \approx 0.080 p^2=x2n2=17250=0.068\hat{p}_2 = \frac{x_2}{n_2} = \frac{17}{250} = 0.068

Step 2: Calculate the standard error of the difference between two proportions

The formula for the standard error of the difference between two proportions is:

SE=p^1(1p^1)n1+p^2(1p^2)n2SE = \sqrt{\frac{\hat{p}_1 (1 - \hat{p}_1)}{n_1} + \frac{\hat{p}_2 (1 - \hat{p}_2)}{n_2}}

Substituting the values:

SE=0.080(10.080)275+0.068(10.068)250SE = \sqrt{\frac{0.080(1 - 0.080)}{275} + \frac{0.068(1 - 0.068)}{250}} SE=0.080(0.920)275+0.068(0.932)2500.0736275+0.06332500.000267+0.0002530.000520.0228SE = \sqrt{\frac{0.080(0.920)}{275} + \frac{0.068(0.932)}{250}} \approx \sqrt{\frac{0.0736}{275} + \frac{0.0633}{250}} \approx \sqrt{0.000267 + 0.000253} \approx \sqrt{0.00052} \approx 0.0228

Step 3: Find the critical value for a 95% confidence interval

For a 95% confidence interval, the critical value zz corresponding to 95% is 1.96.

Step 4: Calculate the margin of error

The margin of error is given by:

ME=z×SE=1.96×0.02280.0447ME = z \times SE = 1.96 \times 0.0228 \approx 0.0447

Step 5: Compute the confidence interval

The difference in sample proportions is:

p^1p^2=0.0800.068=0.012\hat{p}_1 - \hat{p}_2 = 0.080 - 0.068 = 0.012

Now, we calculate the lower and upper limits of the confidence interval:

Lower limit=(p^1p^2)ME=0.0120.0447=0.0327\text{Lower limit} = (\hat{p}_1 - \hat{p}_2) - ME = 0.012 - 0.0447 = -0.0327 Upper limit=(p^1p^2)+ME=0.012+0.0447=0.0567\text{Upper limit} = (\hat{p}_1 - \hat{p}_2) + ME = 0.012 + 0.0447 = 0.0567

Final Answer:

  • Lower limit: -0.033 (rounded to three decimal places)
  • Upper limit: 0.057 (rounded to three decimal places)

Would you like any additional details or clarifications?


Here are 5 related questions to consider:

  1. How would the confidence interval change if the sample sizes were larger?
  2. What happens to the margin of error if we use a 99% confidence level instead of 95%?
  3. How do we interpret the confidence interval in terms of defective bolts?
  4. Can we say machine A produces significantly more defective bolts than machine B based on this interval?
  5. How do we calculate confidence intervals for proportions in small sample sizes?

Tip: When constructing confidence intervals, larger sample sizes result in smaller margins of error, leading to more precise estimates.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Statistics
Confidence Intervals
Proportions

Formulas

p1 = x1/n1
p2 = x2/n2
Standard Error = sqrt[(p1(1-p1)/n1) + (p2(1-p2)/n2)]
Confidence Interval = (p1 - p2) ± z * SE

Theorems

Central Limit Theorem
Z-distribution for Confidence Intervals

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 10-12 (Advanced High School)