Math Problem Statement

Solve

In a poll of 1000 randomly selected voters in a local election, 153 voters were against the school bond measure. What is the sample proportion, and what is the error in estimation for 90% confidence?

Solution

To solve this, let's break down the information given:

  1. Problem Statement:

    • A sample of 1000 voters was selected.
    • Out of these, 153 were against the school bond measure.
    • We need to find the sample proportion p^\hat{p} and calculate the margin of error EE for a 90% confidence interval.
  2. Sample Proportion (p^\hat{p}): p^=1531000=0.153\hat{p} = \frac{153}{1000} = 0.153

  3. Confidence Interval:

    • For a 90% confidence level, the zz-value (from the table) is z=1.645z = 1.645.
  4. Margin of Error (EE): The margin of error for a population proportion is calculated using: E=zp^(1p^)nE = z \cdot \sqrt{\frac{\hat{p}(1 - \hat{p})}{n}} where:

    • z=1.645z = 1.645
    • p^=0.153\hat{p} = 0.153
    • n=1000n = 1000

    Plugging in these values: E=1.6450.153×(10.153)1000E = 1.645 \cdot \sqrt{\frac{0.153 \times (1 - 0.153)}{1000}} Calculating inside the square root: E=1.6450.153×0.8471000E = 1.645 \cdot \sqrt{\frac{0.153 \times 0.847}{1000}} E=1.6450.000129591E = 1.645 \cdot \sqrt{0.000129591} E=1.6450.01138E = 1.645 \cdot 0.01138 E0.0187E \approx 0.0187

So, the margin of error EE for a 90% confidence interval is approximately 0.0187.

Would you like more details on any part of this calculation?

Here are some additional questions related to this topic:

  1. How would the confidence interval change if the confidence level were increased to 95%?
  2. What effect does increasing the sample size have on the margin of error?
  3. How can the sample proportion p^\hat{p} help in determining population trends?
  4. Why is it essential to use the correct zz-value for each confidence level?
  5. How would the calculation differ if we were dealing with a population mean rather than a proportion?

Tip: Always ensure the sample size is large enough when using normal approximation for proportions; generally, both np^n\hat{p} and n(1p^)n(1 - \hat{p}) should be greater than 5.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Statistics
Confidence Intervals
Proportions

Formulas

Sample Proportion (p̂) = x/n
Margin of Error (E) = z * sqrt((p̂ * (1 - p̂)) / n)

Theorems

Normal Distribution for Confidence Intervals

Suitable Grade Level

College Level