Math Problem Statement

State the null hypothesis and alternative hypothesis for a given scenario, perform a Z-test, and conclude at the 0.05 significance level.

Solution

Let’s break this problem down step-by-step:


(a) State the null hypothesis H0H_0 and the alternative hypothesis H1H_1:

  • The null hypothesis H0H_0: The mean player rating μ\mu is equal to or less than 78. Mathematically:
    H0:μ78H_0: \mu \leq 78

  • The alternative hypothesis H1H_1: The mean player rating μ\mu is greater than 78. Mathematically:
    H1:μ>78H_1: \mu > 78


(b) Perform a Z-test and find the p-value:

Formula for Z-test:

Z=xˉμσ/nZ = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu}{\sigma / \sqrt{n}}

Given values:

  • Sample mean (xˉ\bar{x}) = 80.8
  • Hypothesized mean (μ\mu) = 78
  • Population standard deviation (σ\sigma) = 13.8
  • Sample size (nn) = 36

Step 1: Compute the Z-test statistic:

Z=80.87813.8/36=2.813.8/6=2.82.31.217Z = \frac{80.8 - 78}{13.8 / \sqrt{36}} = \frac{2.8}{13.8 / 6} = \frac{2.8}{2.3} \approx 1.217

Step 2: Find the p-value:

The p-value is the area under the standard normal curve to the right of Z=1.217Z = 1.217.

Using a Z-table or calculator: p-value0.1115\text{p-value} \approx 0.1115


(c) Conclusion at the 0.05 level of significance:

  • The p-value (0.1115) is greater than the significance level (0.05).
  • Therefore, we fail to reject the null hypothesis H0H_0.
  • This means there is not enough evidence to support the claim that the mean player rating is higher than 78.

Correct answer:

"Since the p-value is greater than the level of significance, the null hypothesis is not rejected. So, there is not enough evidence to support the claim that the mean player rating is higher than 78."


Summary of Results:

  1. Null Hypothesis H0H_0: μ78\mu \leq 78
  2. Alternative Hypothesis H1H_1: μ>78\mu > 78
  3. Test Statistic ZZ: 1.217
  4. P-value: 0.1115
  5. Conclusion: Fail to reject H0H_0.

Would you like a detailed explanation of any step? Let me know!

Here are 5 related questions to consider:

  1. What happens to the Z-test result if the sample size increases significantly?
  2. How does a one-tailed test differ from a two-tailed test?
  3. How can the significance level (α\alpha) affect the conclusion of a hypothesis test?
  4. What is the relationship between confidence intervals and hypothesis testing?
  5. How do you calculate the critical Z-value for a one-tailed test at a specific significance level?

Tip: Always check whether your test is one-tailed or two-tailed when interpreting p-values!

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Hypothesis Testing
Z-test
Statistics
P-value

Formulas

Z = (x̄ - μ) / (σ / √n)
p-value: area under standard normal curve

Theorems

Central Limit Theorem
Z-test for population mean

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 11-12