Math Problem Statement
Starting from the estimated
7.87.8
billion world population in 2021, assume that the population maintains an annual growth rate of
0.90.9%.
Suppose a student was born in
What will the world population be when the student is
5050
years old?
8383
years old?
100100
years old? Use the approximate doubling time formula.
Question content area bottom
Part 1
When the student is
5050
years old, the world will have a population of about
enter your response here
billion.
(Round to the nearest tenth as needed.)
Part 2
When the student is
8383
years old, the world will have a population of about
enter your response here
billion.
(Round to the nearest tenth as needed.)
Part 3
When the student is
100100
years old, the world will have a population of about
enter your response here
billion.
(Round to the nearest tenth as needed.)
Solution
To solve this problem, we will use the rule of 70 for approximate doubling time. This rule states:
Step 1: Calculate the doubling time
Given an annual growth rate of :
Step 2: Calculate population at various ages
We start with the population in 2021: . The student was born in 2001, so their age in any given year is:
Part 1: Population at age 50
When the student is years old, the year is:
From 2021 to 2051 is years. The population change can be estimated using the formula for exponential growth:
where:
- ,
- ,
- .
So, at age , the population will be approximately 10.2 billion.
Part 2: Population at age 83
When the student is years old, the year is:
From 2021 to 2084 is years. Using the same formula:
So, at age , the population will be approximately 13.6 billion.
Part 3: Population at age 100
When the student is years old, the year is:
From 2021 to 2101 is years. Using the same formula:
So, at age , the population will be approximately 16.0 billion.
Final Results
- When the student is 50 years old (2051), the population will be about 10.2 billion.
- When the student is 83 years old (2084), the population will be about 13.6 billion.
- When the student is 100 years old (2101), the population will be about 16.0 billion.
Would you like a detailed explanation of any step?
Here are 5 related questions for further exploration:
- How does the rule of 70 compare to exact exponential growth calculations?
- What happens if the annual growth rate decreases in future decades?
- How would this calculation change with compounding growth rates (e.g., variable growth)?
- How can we model population changes in regions with declining populations?
- What is the significance of the doubling time in real-world scenarios like resource management?
Tip: Always verify population models using multiple methods, especially for long-term predictions where assumptions may change.
Ask a new question for Free
By Image
Drop file here or Click Here to upload
Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Exponential Growth
Population Growth
Doubling Time
Percentage Growth
Formulas
Doubling Time = 70 / Growth Rate (%)
P(t) = P_0 * 2^(t / Doubling Time)
Theorems
Rule of 70 for Doubling Time
Exponential Growth Model
Suitable Grade Level
Grades 9-12
Related Recommendation
Population Growth Estimation Using the Rule of 70 and Doubling Time
Population Doubling Time and Prediction for 2050 Using a 1.6% Growth Rate
Doubling Time Calculation and World Population Prediction for 2050
Exponential Growth Prediction of World Population Using Doubling Time
Estimated World Population 50 Years from Now Using Exponential Growth Model