Math Problem Statement

explain calculation

Solution

The image shows two mathematical formulas labeled f1f_1 and f2f_2. These formulas are related to statistical analysis, particularly involving a comparison of observed values RtR_t and target or expected values TtT_t, over a series of nn observations.

Formula f1f_1:

f1={t=1nRtTtt=1nRt}100f_1 = \left\{ \frac{\sum_{t=1}^n |R_t - T_t|}{\sum_{t=1}^n R_t} \right\} \cdot 100

Explanation:

  • RtR_t: Represents the observed value at time tt.
  • TtT_t: Represents the target or expected value at time tt.
  • nn: Total number of observations.

The formula f1f_1 calculates the mean absolute error (MAE) between the observed and target values as a percentage of the total observed values. Here’s how the calculation works:

  1. Difference Calculation: For each time tt, calculate the absolute difference RtTt|R_t - T_t|.
  2. Summation: Sum up all these absolute differences across all nn observations.
  3. Normalize: Divide the sum of absolute differences by the sum of all observed values t=1nRt\sum_{t=1}^n R_t.
  4. Percentage: Multiply the result by 100 to express the error as a percentage.

Formula f2f_2:

f2=50log{1+(1nt=1n(RtTt)2)0.5100}f_2 = 50 \cdot \log \left\{ 1 + \left( \frac{1}{n} \sum_{t=1}^n (R_t - T_t)^2 \right)^{0.5} \cdot 100 \right\}

Explanation:

  • This formula involves calculating the root mean square error (RMSE) between the observed and target values, and then applying a logarithmic transformation to it.
  1. Square the Differences: For each tt, calculate the squared difference (RtTt)2(R_t - T_t)^2.
  2. Mean of Squares: Compute the mean of these squared differences by dividing by the number of observations nn.
  3. Root Mean Square Error: Take the square root of the mean of squared differences, which gives the RMSE.
  4. Scale and Logarithm: Multiply by 100 to scale the RMSE, then add 1 and take the logarithm (base 10) of the result, and finally, multiply by 50 to get the final value.

Summary:

  • f1f_1 gives the mean absolute error as a percentage of the total observed values.
  • f2f_2 gives a logarithmic measure of the root mean square error.

These formulas are likely used in assessing the accuracy of predictions in some context, with f1f_1 focusing on absolute deviations and f2f_2 emphasizing squared deviations and a logarithmic scale.


Do you want more detailed steps on how to perform these calculations or have any other questions?

Here are five related questions to explore:

  1. How does the Mean Absolute Error (MAE) differ from the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE)?
  2. In what situations would you prefer to use f1f_1 over f2f_2?
  3. What are the implications of the logarithmic transformation in f2f_2?
  4. How do these formulas behave if the observed values RtR_t are consistently close to the target values TtT_t?
  5. Can these metrics be applied to other types of data beyond time-series?

Tip: When working with error metrics, always consider the context and the sensitivity of the error to outliers, as some metrics may amplify larger errors more than others.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Statistics
Mean Absolute Error (MAE)
Root Mean Square Error (RMSE)
Logarithmic Transformation

Formulas

f_1 = \left\{ \frac{\sum_{t=1}^n |R_t - T_t|}{\sum_{t=1}^n R_t} \right\} \cdot 100
f_2 = 50 \cdot \log \left\{ 1 + \left( \frac{1}{n} \sum_{t=1}^n (R_t - T_t)^2 \right)^{0.5} \cdot 100 \right\}

Theorems

-

Suitable Grade Level

Advanced